Norm,

Before you complain too loudly about "government employees" crying wolf,
think about the consequences.

I think it is hundreds of times more damaging if a hurricane hits
without sufficient warning or preparation than it is when warning is
given but the event is less serious than predicted. In all cases
meteorology deals with probabilities. "Government employees" must
determine how much preparation to make based on the probability of the
impending event. If the probability is only 25%, you might think that
they should all chill and let the dice roll - but would you bet your
family's life on a dice roll?

>From a statistical standpoint, I would rather see 10 or 100 false alarms
for every correctly predicted catastrophe.

Hugh.


-----Original Message-----
From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of
[email protected]
Sent: Saturday, September 04, 2010 8:32 AM
To: A LiveAboardList
Subject: [Liveaboard] A Non-Event



Ahoy All,

Hurricane Earl was 99.9% a media event here in New England.  Lots of
folks getting paid to run around in circles and yell "The sky is about
to fall!!!"

There was some rain in the southeast portion of the area, mostly on
Nantucket but the TV folks expended far more energy than Earl did.  The
boob-tube babble was endless but the field crews were hard pressed to
find anything worth filming.  A great deal of the hot air came from
government employees, thank Goodness it didn't get into Earl's system.

Speaking of government employees, five local "on call" firefighters were
arrested yesterday for setting fires so they could get paid for putting
them out.

Here in the inner harbor of Gloucester last night we had dead calm
winds, fog, and a little after midnight a few light to moderate showers,
much less weather than the last rain a couple of weeks ago during the
passage of a cold front.


Norm
S/V Bandersnatch
Lying Gloucester MA


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