I wish it were. Your link doesn’t mention expired backups at all. I think TM is 
misbehaving. Under no circumstances did I want those backups deleted. TM had no 
reason to do so, other than it being a bug.
-Carl

> On May 16, 2015, at 11:11 AM, Macs R We <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> All explained here:
> 
> http://pondini.org/TM/12.html <http://pondini.org/TM/12.html>
> 
> 
> On May 16, 2015, at 11:10 AM, Carl Hoefs <[email protected]> 
> wrote:
> 
>> 
>>> On May 16, 2015, at 11:03 AM, Carl Hoefs <[email protected] 
>>> <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
>>> 
>>> OS X 10.10.3
>>> 
>>> Why does TimeMachine think it needs to delete old backups? My external 3GB 
>>> drive used for TM backups is nearly empty, with 2.7GB free. In TM 
>>> Preferences it says “The oldest backups are deleted when your disk becomes 
>>> full”, yet after the last backup it deleted 2 ‘expired’ backups. What is 
>>> going on?
>>> 
>>> May 16 10:45:57 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Starting post-backup thinning
>>> May 16 10:45:57 kernel[0]: hfs: unmount initiated on Recovery HD on device 
>>> disk0s3
>>> May 16 10:46:09 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Deleted /Volumes/Time Machine 
>>> Drive/Backups.backupdb/2015-03-12-151308 (137.9 MB)
>>> May 16 10:46:15 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Deleted /Volumes/Time Machine 
>>> Drive/Backups.backupdb/2015-04-09-000413 (28.8 MB)
>>> May 16 10:46:15 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Post-backup thinning complete: 2 
>>> expired backups removed
>>> May 16 10:46:15 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Backup completed successfully.
>>> 
>>> Filesystem    1024-blocks      Used  Available Capacity  iused     ifree 
>>> %iused  Mounted on
>>> /dev/disk2s2   2929930664 179088592 2750842072     7% 22386072 343855259    
>>> 6%   /Volumes/Time Machine Drive
>>> 
>> 
>> Slight clarification to the above. Obviously I meant 3TB drive, and 2.7TB 
>> free. 
>> 
>> Here’s a more complete system.log entry set. You can see that the ‘expired’ 
>> backups are one 1 and 2 months old
>> 
>> May 16 10:42:05 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Starting automatic backup
>> May 16 10:42:14 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Backing up to /dev/disk2s2: 
>> /Volumes/Time Machine Drive/Backups.backupdb
>> May 16 10:42:38 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Will copy (41.6 MB) from Macintosh 
>> HD
>> May 16 10:42:38 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Found 318 files (41.6 MB) needing 
>> backup
>> May 16 10:42:38 com.apple.backupd[1014]: 4.93 GB required (including 
>> padding), 2.82 TB available
>> May 16 10:45:41 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Copied 477 items (41.4 MB) from 
>> volume Macintosh HD. Linked 1386.
>> May 16 10:45:54 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Created new backup: 
>> 2015-05-16-104554
>> May 16 10:45:57 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Starting post-backup thinning
>> May 16 10:46:09 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Deleted /Volumes/Time Machine 
>> Drive/Backups.backupdb/2015-03-12-151308 (137.9 MB)
>> May 16 10:46:15 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Deleted /Volumes/Time Machine 
>> Drive/Backups.backupdb/2015-04-09-000413 (28.8 MB)
>> May 16 10:46:15 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Post-backup thinning complete: 2 
>> expired backups removed
>> May 16 10:46:15 com.apple.backupd[1014]: Backup completed successfully.
>> 
>> -Carl
>> 
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> 

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