Harland Harrison wrote:

HH> The voters finally want out of Iraq.  The LP should support them. <HH

The voters originaly wanted to liberate Iraq, and still would say we were
right to liberate Kuwait and chase Al Qaeda out of Afghanistan.  Should the
LP "support" them on those two issues, or are you only a fair-weather
demagog?

It's naive to believe that Iraq is a good wedge issue for the LP.  Recent
history provides a natural experiment that refutes this naivete almost
perfectly. 2004 LP presidential nominee Michael Badnarik ran as an anti-war
candidate, but didn't grow the standard Libertarian vote share at all. If
anti-interventionism can grow the LP, then Nader's 3 million voters from
2000 should have been available to the anti-war candidates in 2004, because
both major-party candidates favored continuing the war. Together Nader and
Green rival Cobb reclaimed at most 700K of those 3 million, and so with at
least 2.3M anti-war voters up for grabs, Badnarik increased the 2000 LP
presidential vote by only 13K!  Thus it seems that an anti-war stance can
bring us only about 1% of the non-LP anti-war vote, which itself is less
than 3% of voters. It's hard to imagine better empirical evidence that
foreign policy is not the lever to grow the LP. 

HH> Democrat Tom Lantos sold that war with a lie about babies thrown out of
incubators.  This time the White House ponied up the lies, and Lantos pushed
the Iraq resolution through the House for them.  When Ron Paul thought the
Constitution required a Declaration of War to go to war,  Lantos called him
"frivolous".  <HH

Readers curious about your focus on Lantos and the wars he supports will be
interested to know that Lantos was the candidate you ran against in 2004.

Art I Sec 8 grants Congress the power "to declare war" and "to make all laws
which shall be necessary and proper for carrying [that power] into
execution". Public Law 107-243 (the Iraq War Resolution of Oct 2002) said
"the President is authorized to use the Armed Forces of the United States as
he determines to be necessary and appropriate in order to [...] enforce all
relevant United Nations Security Council resolutions regarding Iraq." In the
text of the resolution, Congress explicitly mentions its "war power" when
discussing its authority to enact this law. Whether Congress believed it was
exercising its Constitutional war power is not even a close question. You
earlier said that "it is not necessary to delegate the power to declare
war", but it would be, well, frivolous to claim that the "necessary and
proper" clause authorizes a law only if that law is literally the only way
to excercise the congressional power in question.

HH> The LP was right before, and the anti-war position turns out right
again. <HH

The knee-jerk "anti-war" position was wrong on liberating Kuwait, and wrong
on chasing Al Qaeda out of Afghanistan.  For someone to have been "right" on
deposing Saddam, he would have had to make one of two predictions before the
invasion:

1) Despite the stability in Kurdish Iraq under U.S. military protection, and
despite the surprising success America had in deposing the Taliban, a
sectarian civil war would be more likely than not to eventually undermine
our effort to liberate the rest of Iraq -- a region much more secular,
prosperous, and literate than Afghanistan.

2) Saddam in fact had neither a nuclear WMD program nor the capability and
intention of reconstituting the pre-1991 program that we found out in 1995
he had so successfully hidden from the West.

On my blog I document an intensive but fruitless search for any Iraq
Cassandra who credibly registered either of these two predictions. Indeed,
the Iraqi people themselves were still failing to make the first prediction
a year after the invasion. In an April 2004 CNN/Gallup nationwide poll of
Iraqis, 42% "said Iraq was better off because of the war", and 61% "said
Saddam Hussein's ouster made it worth any hardships." In a nationwide poll
of Iraqis completed in Mar 2004 for BBC by Oxford Research International,
"56% said that things were better now than they were before the war".

If you're claiming that the LP knew in 2003 about a bloody Sunni-Shia civil
war that the Iraqis themselves in 2004 apparently still didn't see coming,
then I'd love for you to document that amazing prediction.

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