Dear all,

On behalf of my co-authors, I am pleased to announce and share our recent
paper titled: "*Environmental influence on Bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops
truncatus)*
*abundance in Southern Portugal*".
The full paper is available here: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsma.2025.104569

Feel free to email me if you have any questions.

Abstract:
The common bottlenose dolphin (*Tursiops truncatus*) is a keystone species
and bioindicator of marine ecosystem health. Factors influencing its
abundance in southern Portugal’s Algarve region remain poorly understood.
This study examines nine years (2015–2023) of sighting records, collected
through platforms of opportunity and a dedicated research vessel, to assess
the relationship between monthly dolphin abundance and key oceanographic
factors across four age classes (adults, juveniles, calves, and neonates).
Among the environmental variables assessed, sea surface temperature (SST),
chlorophyll-a (Chl-a), coastal upwelling index, dissolved oxygen, and sea
surface salinity, only SST and Chl-a were retained as key predictors in the
final ecological models
(GLMMs). Results showed a significant positive relationship between Chl-a
and adults abundance, while SST was positively correlated with neonates but
negatively correlated with adults and juveniles abundance. This pattern was
reflected in a geospatial temperature-driven gradient, with neonates
primarily concentrated in warmer eastern waters, and juveniles in cooler
western waters closer to the Atlantic. The indirect effects of SST and
Chl-a on dolphin abundance, mediated through prey availability, and the
direct effects of SST on thermal regulation, were explored. Warmer waters
may act as a thermal barrier, restricting the occurrence of older dolphins
while providing a thermal ‘cushion’ for neonates, enhancing their survival
chances. These findings underscore the need to validate the Algarve’s
potential role as a key breeding and nursery ground, essential for shaping
age-specific conservation strategies within the Site of Community
Importance (SCI) designated in 2019 to protect Annex II species.
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