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This sell-out deal was almost as predictable as night becoming day. That
may sound overblown, given the massive Turkish counterroffensive several
days ago that destroyed so much Assadist genocide-equipment and shot down a
bunch of warplanes. But it was very, very noticeable while this was
happening that it was essentially being facilitated by Moscow - the same
Moscow that had just killed 36 Turkish troops, which provoked Erdogan's
revenge on Assad (instead of on Russian forces). Demonstrating to both who
was in charge was important for Moscow to hammer through this deal. As for
Erdogan, well blowing hot and cold like that is what he does, but it was
clear he wanted a deal, via Moscow, that preserved the northern part of
Idlib province - now that Assad has conquered most of the revolutionary
towns - as a Turkish-controlled giant refugee camp, to prevent further
refugee influx into Turkey.

While the SDF/Kurdish leadership may have entertained some thoughts of
aiding Assad against Idlib in exchange for Assad helping them push Turkish
occupation forces out of Afrin, the actual result will come as a cruel blow
to these illusions. Just as the deal was being signed, Assad declared that
the “Kurdish issue” does not exist in his country, calling it “illusive and
a lie”. He also claimed that Kurds living in northern areas are originally
from Turkey.

https://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/syria/050320201. This is in the
context of rumours that the Russian-Turkish agreement may include secret
provisions for Putin to look the other way if Turkey occupies Kobani. While
tactical choices might be made ehre and there, ultimately a strengthened
regime is their worst enemy too.

On Sat, Mar 7, 2020 at 12:04 AM RKOB via Marxism <
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu> wrote:

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