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In a message dated 5/20/2010 8:37:30 A.M. Pacific Daylight Time, [email protected]_ (mailto:[email protected]) writes: > We are, all of us, compelled to yield to the evidence. I had all sorts of hopes about 2008 marking a real shift. We had never had a black president and it was possible that those ties of race might matter to him more than they've proved to matter. Now we know. < Reply The data presented by J is extremely interesting and I am still digesting it. My eyes witness a shift in the UAW voting members led by the skilled trades sector of the union. This grouping does not fully correspond with the economic categories of voters presented by J, but enough to draw an inference. For instance the skilled trades income vary from $70 K to $110 or $120 K and this group of workers bolted from the Republicans. The blacks were the last to move tied to the Clinton machine. I missed the "Latino surge" before it happened. My base impression of what was taking place in front of me was that Obama would not win. Really. At the time I was living in Florida but traveling to Detroit regularly. I do thank J for presenting data one can sink their teeth into. Below is some of the data and a 34 point swing amongst any population group in any election is profound. Turning a 21 point negative into a 6 point win is a 27 point swing and profound. Interesting stuff. WL. (J's data.) So, among people making $100,000 or more, Bush had a 17-percent lead that Obama completely erased. Among those making under $100,000, Obama increased the Democrat advantage from one point to 8. The most striking figure of all is that among those making more than $200,000, Bush had a 28 point advantage over Kerry. In this same group, Obama bested McCain by 6%. That's a 34-point swing. To make the demographics even more comparable, contrast those making over $150k in 2004 (7% of the voters) with those making over $200K in 2008 (6% of the voters). Obama turned a 21 point GOP advantage in 2004 into a 6 point Democrat advantage. In other words, among those most privileged layers closest to the ruling class there was a swing to the Democrats comparable to the one among Latinos and Asians. ________________________________________________ Send list submissions to: [email protected] Set your options at: http://lists.econ.utah.edu/mailman/options/marxism/archive%40mail-archive.com
