----- Original Message ----- 
From: Downwithcapitalism <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Friday, April 27, 2001 11:31 PM
Subject: [downwithcapitalism] FW: 'Global slowdown'



Business Week. 7 May 2001. The Profit Picture Is Getting Ugly. Excerpts.



How the mighty have fallen--and the not-so-mighty, too.

Across the corporate landscape, earnings are plummeting, brought down by
the slowing U.S. economy, the stubbornly strong dollar, and high energy
costs. BusinessWeek's flash-profit survey of 122 bellwether companies
shows that first-quarter net income sank 19%, despite a sales increase
of 14%. And even that dismal performance includes a lift from highfliers
in the energy sector such as Exxon Mobil Corp.

Without those anomalous gains, year-over-year results fell 25%.

... The second quarter is likely to be just as humbling, and analysts
widely predict third-quarter profits will be down, too. Economists at
Standard & Poor's Corp. estimate that the net income of the 500
companies in its benchmark index tumbled 18% in the first quarter.
That's on top of a 5% slide in last year's final period. Worse, they
forecast another 10% drop in the second quarter--marking the first
double-digit earnings decline in two consecutive quarters since 1992,
when business was still recovering from a recession.

... Already shaken by the stock market's plunge, Americans are growing
anxious about jobs. That means consumer spending is expected to drop,
especially on durable goods as well as snazzy electronic gadgets. Sears,
Roebuck Co. is caught in the downdraft. Its net income skidded 25% in
the first quarter, to $176 million, and the retailer has warned of
another double-digit decline in the second quarter.

Corporations, meanwhile, are also snapping their wallets shut as they
prop up the bottom line by curtailing capital spending and discretionary
outlays. And executives detect that the U.S. malaise is spilling into
Europe and Asia--regions that had until now acted as counterweights to
mounting domestic woes.

"It is a global slowdown," declares Richard Berner, chief U.S. economist
for Morgan Stanley Dean Witter & Co. "It is U.S.-centric, but it is
global."

... Airlines were among the worst off in the quarter. All but two of the
major carriers--Continental and Southwest--posted losses, with UAL
reporting a jaw-dropping deficit of $304 million as business travelers
stayed put or booked cheaper coach-class tickets.

Earnings of commodity makers also slid. Net income at DuPont swooned
40%, to $484 million.

The car industry hit the brakes, too, with earnings at industry leader
General Motors Corp. nose-diving 87%, to $225 million. Auto makers
remain fearful that dropping consumer confidence will hurt sales for the
rest of 2001.

... Few sectors fell harder than tech, though, where titans had stood so
tall a year ago. Intel Corp. logged an 82% decline in net income, to
$485 million, its third consecutive quarter of lower profits. The
chipmaker warned that its margins would shrink further in the second
quarter. Compaq Computer's first-quarter profit was off 76% as PC sales
stalled, while Motorola reported its first operating loss since 1985.

To keep profits from disappearing altogether, many companies are
battling back--with an ax. Motorola, DuPont, Intel, and Cisco are among
the biggest job choppers. 3M, too, plans to lop 5,000 positions this
year. Bracing for harder times, the St. Paul (Minn.) conglomerate is
also paring capital expenses and putting the arm on vendors.

"There are no clear signs the picture is improving anytime soon," warns
3M CEO W. James McNerney Jr.


















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