I hestiated to post it to the list when I read it for the same reason - very 
good analysis of Israel as a belated settler-colony but his conclusion, despite 
his denial, also struck me as more wishful thinking than evidentiary. In 
fairness to Pappe, as Hari notes, he believes Israel's internal contradictions 
are so intractable that sooner or later it will compel secular Israelis to opt 
for a binational democratic state with like-minded Palestinians also opposed to 
the fetters religious fundamentalism places on social and economic development. 
Pappe does not consider the possibility that Israel will finally succeed in 
crushing the resistance of its indigenous population and suppressing it save 
for a thin aspiring bourgeois layer which it will integrate, as former 
colonial-settler societies have done.

In fact, he has "no doubt" that his optimistic scenario will prevail. I share 
the doubts expressed by Hari and Michael, extrapolating from the current 
relationship of forces. That said, I also remember scoffing at 60's Soviet 
dissident Andrei Amalrik's prediction that the USSR would not survive past 
1984. He was essentially engaging in guesswork as Pappe appears to be doing in 
relation to Palestine today. But the preciptious implosion of the Soviet Union 
did illustrate that when historic change does occur, it's often abrupt and 
unexpected, and ever since then I've been more inclined to hedge my bets about 
its direction.


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