[Edited Message Follows]

FWIW, (which is probably not much ;-) , 
https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/12/12/everyone-fears-you-kurdish-forces-plead-for-israeli-military-aid/.
 Ofra Bengio, quoted in this article, is the author of a book I skimmed a bit 
of years ago,

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"Saddam's Word: Political Discourse in Iraq," but, I have not perused any of 
her scholarship on the Kurds.
Quoting Michael Pröbsting, from the conclusion of his article " Yesterday 
Idlib, today Damascus, tomorrow Jerusalem!" Right-Wing Islamophobic websites 
and X aka Twitter accts. have been highlighting ," Abu Mohammad al-Julani has 
left no room for doubt about his Islamic intentions for the region... In a 
previous video, this Muslim leader openly declared: "Our goal is not only to 
reach Damascus. Jerusalem awaits us after Damascus." 
https://x.com/AmyMek/status/1865968429775364484 , a video excerpt from, ahem, 
https://www.memri.org/tv/hts-leader-joulani-in-pep-talk-not-defeated-jerusalem-awaits-us.

I rather doubt Julani aka Ahmed Hussein al-Sharaa, of HTS, harbors these 
intentions still, regarding external ambitions, which he abjured when he broke 
with al-Qaeda. 
https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/interview/abu-mohammad-al-jolani/ , 
https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/article/abu-mohammad-al-jolani-hts-hayat-tahrir-al-sham-documentary-interview-syria-assad/.
'Everyone fears you': Kurdish forces plead for Israeli military aid ( 
https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/12/12/everyone-fears-you-kurdish-forces-plead-for-israeli-military-aid/
 )
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Syrian Kurdish commanders seek Israel's help amid territorial losses to 
Turkish-backed Islamist forces. The assessment is that intervention would 
escalate tensions with Turkey.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

By Danny Zaken ( https://www.israelhayom.com/writer/danny-zaken/ )
Published on 12-12-2024 14:00 ( 
https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/12/12/everyone-fears-you-kurdish-forces-plead-for-israeli-military-aid/
 )
Last modified: 12-12-2024 14:04

The Israeli defense establishment is weighing requests for assistance from 
Syria's Kurdish minority, who are under attack from Turkish-backed Islamist 
groups. The appeals for help have reached Israeli officials in recent days 
following the advancement of these groups and their successful capture of 
Kurdish-held territories.

Israel and the Kurdish forces have maintained an ongoing dialogue, which has 
strengthened significantly following the fall of the Assad regime. ( 
https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/12/11/inside-assads-deserted-palace-a-trail-of-anxiety-pills-and-shattered-power/
 )

The Israeli dilemma stems partly from the potential impact such intervention 
could have on relations with Erdogan's Turkey, as well as the American 
position, which favors stopping the fighting through diplomatic means. Foreign 
Minister Gideon Sa'ar has led diplomatic discourse supporting the Kurds and 
Druze in Syria, raising the issue in meetings with his European counterparts 
and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken.

Their appeals to Israel have also reached Israel Hayom, " You control the 
skies, you didn't hesitate to take the big mountain (Syrian Hermon). Everyone 
fears you, including al-Julani ( 
https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/12/08/abu-mohammed-al-jolani-who-is-syrias-de-facto-ruler/
 ) (leader of the rebel group that overthrew the Assad regime). Turkey is 
against you, and we are with you. You must help us, for your own interests," 
says A. Awak, one of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) commanders in the 
southeastern sector of the Syrian autonomous region, in a fragmented 
conversation from the Syria-Iraq border.

"The Turks are determined to exploit the success of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and 
conquer all of Syria to make it their client state," he adds. "Only we can 
prevent this, but we need external help from the West, especially from you, 
because everyone fears you now. The day isn't far when these Islamist groups 
will turn against you too." "This is a historic opportunity that Israel must 
seize," says Professor Ofra Bengio, one of the world's leading experts on 
Kurdish affairs. "Israel should assist the Kurdish minority in Syria so they 
can maintain their autonomy in the northeast of the country." During Syria's 
civil war, the Kurds, a pro-Western and pro-Israeli minority, managed to 
establish control over a quarter of the country's territory – a larger area 
than most other opposition groups.

The Kurdish region in Syria, bordering Iraq to the east, also serves as a 
buffer against pro-Iranian groups operating in southern Iraq that launch drones 
and missiles toward Israel.

The Turkish interest becomes apparent as the fall of the Assad regime to 
militias from northwestern Syria in the past ten days has raised immediate 
concerns among the Kurds. Although this marks the fall of one of their enemies, 
there are growing fears that Turkish-backed militias will turn against them - a 
fear that has already begun to materialize.

The Islamist groups have captured the provincial city of Manbij near the 
Turkish border from Kurdish forces, with fighting only stopping after American 
intervention - though it continued on other fronts. In recent days, they also 
captured the city of Deir ez-Zor in eastern Syria, including its strategic 
airport, as well as the city of Al-Bukamal on the Iraqi border. The Kurds 
retreated across the Euphrates River but fear continued attacks with Turkish 
support.

An Israeli diplomatic source says that Israeli involvement now, even behind the 
scenes, has more advantages than disadvantages, "It's clear to us too that the 
moderation displayed by the heads of the Islamist rebel headquarters in Syria 
is for PR purposes, and when they can, they will turn against Israel. The Kurds 
are allies who have helped us in various ways."

However, he emphasizes, "The picture is complex, and we cannot act there 
without American consent. There's a chance the Americans won't be too angry if 
we independently attack targets in the south, far from Turkey, without claiming 
responsibility."

Michael Pugliese


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