FWIW, (which is probably not much ;-) ,
https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/12/12/everyone-fears-you-kurdish-forces-plead-for-israeli-military-aid/
. Ofra Bengio, quoted in this article, is the author of a book I skimmed a
bit of years ago, "Saddam's Word: Political Discourse in Iraq," but, I have
not perused any of her scholarship on the Kurds.
*Quoting **Michael Pröbsting, from the conclusion of his article "**Yesterday
Idlib, today Damascus, tomorrow Jerusalem!" Right-Wing Islamophobic
websites and X aka Twitter accts. have been highlighting ," *Abu Mohammad
al-Julani has left no room for doubt about his Islamic intentions for the
region... In a previous video, this Muslim leader openly declared: "Our
goal is not only to reach Damascus. Jerusalem awaits us after Damascus."
https://x.com/AmyMek/status/1865968429775364484 .
I rather doubt Julani aka Ahmed Hussein al-Sharaa, of HTS, harbors these
intentions still, regarding external ambitions, which he abjured when HTS
broke with al-Qaeda.
https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/interview/abu-mohammad-al-jolani/ ,
https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/article/abu-mohammad-al-jolani-hts-hayat-tahrir-al-sham-documentary-interview-syria-assad/
.
 'Everyone fears you': Kurdish forces plead for Israeli military aid
<https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/12/12/everyone-fears-you-kurdish-forces-plead-for-israeli-military-aid/>Syrian
Kurdish commanders seek Israel's help amid territorial losses to
Turkish-backed Islamist forces. The assessment is that intervention would
escalate tensions with Turkey.
 By  Danny Zaken <https://www.israelhayom.com/writer/danny-zaken/>

 Published on  12-12-2024 14:00
<https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/12/12/everyone-fears-you-kurdish-forces-plead-for-israeli-military-aid/>
 Last modified: 12-12-2024 14:04

The Israeli defense establishment is weighing requests for assistance from
Syria's Kurdish minority, who are under attack from Turkish-backed Islamist
groups. The appeals for help have reached Israeli officials in recent days
following the advancement of these groups and their successful capture of
Kurdish-held territories.

Israel and the Kurdish forces have maintained an ongoing dialogue, which
has strengthened significantly following the fall of the Assad regime.
<https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/12/11/inside-assads-deserted-palace-a-trail-of-anxiety-pills-and-shattered-power/>

The Israeli dilemma stems partly from the potential impact such
intervention could have on relations with Erdogan's Turkey, as well as the
American position, which favors stopping the fighting through diplomatic
means. Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar has led diplomatic discourse
supporting the Kurds and Druze in Syria, raising the issue in meetings with
his European counterparts and US Secretary of State Antony Blinken.

Their appeals to Israel have also reached *Israel Hayom, "*You control the
skies, you didn't hesitate to take the big mountain (Syrian Hermon).
Everyone fears you, including al-Julani
<https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/12/08/abu-mohammed-al-jolani-who-is-syrias-de-facto-ruler/>
(leader
of the rebel group that overthrew the Assad regime). Turkey is against you,
and we are with you. You must help us, for your own interests," says A.
Awak, one of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) commanders in the
southeastern sector of the Syrian autonomous region, in a fragmented
conversation from the Syria-Iraq border.

"The Turks are determined to exploit the success of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham
and conquer all of Syria to make it their client state," he adds. "Only we
can prevent this, but we need external help from the West, especially from
you, because everyone fears you now. The day isn't far when these Islamist
groups will turn against you too.""This is a historic opportunity that
Israel must seize," says Professor Ofra Bengio, one of the world's leading
experts on Kurdish affairs. "Israel should assist the Kurdish minority in
Syria so they can maintain their autonomy in the northeast of the country."
During Syria's civil war, the Kurds, a pro-Western and pro-Israeli
minority, managed to establish control over a quarter of the country's
territory – a larger area than most other opposition groups.

The Kurdish region in Syria, bordering Iraq to the east, also serves as a
buffer against pro-Iranian groups operating in southern Iraq that launch
drones and missiles toward Israel.

The Turkish interest becomes apparent as the fall of the Assad regime to
militias from northwestern Syria in the past ten days has raised immediate
concerns among the Kurds. Although this marks the fall of one of their
enemies, there are growing fears that Turkish-backed militias will turn
against them - a fear that has already begun to materialize.

The Islamist groups have captured the provincial city of Manbij near the
Turkish border from Kurdish forces, with fighting only stopping after
American intervention - though it continued on other fronts. In recent
days, they also captured the city of Deir ez-Zor in eastern Syria,
including its strategic airport, as well as the city of Al-Bukamal on the
Iraqi border. The Kurds retreated across the Euphrates River but fear
continued attacks with Turkish support.

An Israeli diplomatic source says that Israeli involvement now, even behind
the scenes, has more advantages than disadvantages, "It's clear to us too
that the moderation displayed by the heads of the Islamist rebel
headquarters in Syria is for PR purposes, and when they can, they will turn
against Israel. The Kurds are allies who have helped us in various ways."

However, he emphasizes, "The picture is complex, and we cannot act there
without American consent. There's a chance the Americans won't be too angry
if we independently attack targets in the south, far from Turkey, without
claiming responsibility."


Michael Pugliese


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