Something like this was predictable.Notwithstanding Trump's chest-thumping
(and wheezing) threats, establishing the kind of strong-man (much less
fascist) regime is always going to face major obstacles within the ruling
circles.  For those who rule, no change like that is without some level of
threat. Trump is simply too old, too stupid, and too shallow to even make a
plausible stab at it. A lot of people can get hurt in a second Trump term,
but a new kind of fascism that gets elected into office was never in the
cards.

I don't doubt the aspirations evident in Trump's rhetoric and I agree with
Reiman and others calling it Bonapartist in its rhetorical intentions, but
it doesn't translate into a reality. The Bonapartism of Napoleon III had to
accommodate the 19th century equivalent of Musk and his tech bros--the
industrialists who had definite ideas as to what they needed and had ways
to get it whether through anything from a monarchy through a constitutional
monarchy to an elective republic. Louie Napoleon had to construct an image
that made it the most appealing available option. That included a level of
passive popularity that Trump has never approached.

January 6 was not the Eighteenth Brumaire of Trumpty Dumpty . . . and it
was never going to be one.

And, if it had been, it wouldn't have guaranteed that thatNapoléon le Petit
could have stayed in power. In part, he did so by turning the military
brass (and the industrialists) into an ally with a series of global
ventures. The brass likes the opportunity for promotion and plunder, the
industrialists love the contracts and the R&D, and the expanding size of
the army leaves options for the unemployed or ambitious plebes. Thus far,
Trump has mastered the art of aggressive tweeting, while not serving any of
these other Bonapartist purposes. Indeed, it's damaging the credibility of
the American empire that emerged after 1945.  Since the American people
have done very poorly checking it, we should be happy that U.S. allies with
a history of knee-jerk support for whatever crazy schemes are cooked up in
the White House kitchen are going to be more wary (and less warry). His
efforts to get flat-earthers in charge of national intelligence is going to
have a serious impact on the kind of hegemony to which the U.S. has always
aspired.

Trump is not a healthy man and his "good genes" and bribed doctor's notes
are not going to save him from a couch potato fate. His meandering off will
leave us with a roughly three-way battle between the tech robber barons who
have all the charm and political skills of a mollusk, the MAGAs (and those
pretending to be), and whatever deep-borrowed institutional GOPers are
around to mount an attempt to recapture the party.  This last group (with
Democratic assistance) created the preconditions for the MAGAs to take
charge of the party and the MAGAs, in turn, invited in the billionaire tech
vampires.

We have no reason not to wish a plague on all of them.

. . . speaking of which, imagine how they are going to deal with something
like COVID.

https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/articles/issue/30/14/table-of-contents


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