> On Jan 13, 2025, at 5:15 AM, hari kumar via groups.io
> <hari6.kumar=gmail....@groups.io> wrote:
>
> It received a fair bit of push-back, on the various grounds of (i) Not being
> peer-reviewed as it had been a letter (ii) methodological grounds: ". . .
> Even if we accept the unverified numbers of direct civilian deaths provided
> by the Gaza Health Ministry, Khatib and colleagues deliver forecasts of
> indirect deaths using multipliers based on unsubstantiated assumptions, and
> then add some more tens of thousands to achieve a thought massacre,
> undermining credibility. Rather, the emphasis should be on how to minimise
> this multiplier by preventing indirect deaths. We believe that such
> mitigation can be achieved when Hamas lays down arms, releases Israeli
> hostages, stops attacking humanitarian relief, and reverts medical facilities
> to the provision of medical care rather than to combat command, and that such
> actions would allow the Israel Defense Forces to cease their combat
> operations. . ."
Epidemiology has been politicized like everything else. The argument that the
IDF and Netanyahu government are looking for an opportunity to cease combat
operations is of course ludicrous. But how can combat operations be stopped?
Should Hamas cease military attacks on the IDF as part of a new strategy to
pressure Israel to stop combat? Hamas bet the lives of the Palestinian
population on a strategy that has been shown to be disconnected from reality.
In retrospect, it's not farfetched to speculate that Hamas did exactly what the
Likud wanted them to do. The continued military operations by Hamas continue to
prove have ineffective their strategy is beyond giving Israel justification for
continuing genocidal military actions and a growing death toll of civilians.
Mark
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