The Lancet: 64,260 Gaza Violent Deaths Indicating 257,000 Indirect Deaths In 9 
Months| Countercurrents


On 9 January 2025 epidemiologists published  a paper in the leading medical 
journal The Lancet in which they estimated 64,260 Gaza deaths from traumatic 
injury in the 9 months since 7 October 2023 but applying an expert estimate of 
4 indirect deaths per 1 direct death (Rashid et al, The Lancet, 10 July 2024) 
indicates  4 x 64,260 = 257,040 further deaths from imposed deprivation and a 
total of 321,300 Gaza deaths from violence and deprivation in the first 9 
months.

The Lancet (9 January 2025) estimate of 64,260 violent Gaza deaths in the first 
9 months [1] corresponds to 64,260 x 12/9 = 85,680 violent deaths in the first 
year of the Gaza Massacre. However as carefully estimated  below, this 
indicates  5 x 85,680 = 429,300  deaths from violence and imposed deprivation 
in the first year of the Gaza Massacre, this including deaths of 302,743 
children,  39,668 women and 86,891 men.  



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