Hello Marv:
I understand your concern about any sense that there is an 'inevitability' 
about world events. Probably, unlike many here, I do believe in the general 
pathways as described by the rubric of historical materialism. For me, that 
does not mean an exact prescription of events. Nor anything that denies human 
agency.

I mean I believe that Engels' later clarifications were quite accurate. Namely, 
although in only  (as far as I am aware anyway) letter form - to Borgius and 
Conrad Schmidt etc - that history is a rough 'parallelogram' of forces - or 
some such formulation.

As such that there are several possible off-beam things that may happen I 
think. Although we are not aware of any such seismic events in the offing, 
possibly even somewhere - the conditions for a toilers/workers revolution will 
come together. In any such case, it would force a lot of things to be 
re-considered. Or for example, in an opposite direction, not many left forces 
had projected that Trump would virtually overnight rescind the NATO-EU 
alliance. Was it Marx or Yoggi Berra who said: "It's tough to make predictions, 
especially about the future.”

Whoever. It is true.
H
PS: I do not mistake you for a pacifist.


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