Never intervene in a Muslim country

Problems in Muslim countries cannot be fixed by outside intervention, 
howsoever dire the crisis or noble the intervention might be. We should have 
learned this lesson from the Somalia experience.


Wednesday, November 22, 2006
Alamgir Hussain PhD


When the UN-led forces drove the Taliban out of Afghanistan, I was indignant 
at the United States, like the overwhelming majority of Muslims worldwide. 
However, it was not long afterwards that my perception totally changed. 
During their five-year rule, the Taliban robbed the dignity and future of 
the entire women of Afghanistan. All sorts of human rights violations, along 
with the introduction of cruel and often barbaric Sharia laws, caused 
immense sufferings for the people of Afghanistan.



Desperate economic conditions and hardship drove as many as 25 percent of 
the entire population to refugee camps in neighbouring countries, notably in 
Pakistan. Had the Taliban continued to rule the country, nobody knows how 
many people would today have been left inside Afghanistan.



With the removal of the Taliban, women got universal rights to education, 
jobs and other kinds of human rights. Foreign aid poured in and 
reconstruction of the war-ravaged country resumed, and Afghan refugees from 
neighbouring countries started returning home in great numbers. In the 1970s 
and early 80s, Afghanistan was one of the most liberal Muslim nation in the 
world. There was a hope in my mind that the Afghans were on their way back 
to the good old days and would emerge as a prosperous, democratic and 
peaceful nation.



But when the United States decided to ouster Saddam Hussein, my enthusiasm 
was rather lukewarm. Saddam Hussein was no less a harmful ruler for the 
Iraqis and the neighbours. But the US should probably have settled things in 
Afghanistan before intervening in Iraq.



Now I see the intervention in Iraq was a mistake – not on the moral, but the 
practical, ground. All indications say that Afghanistan intervention was 
also a mistake on the same ground. There are too many tragic problems in 
Muslim countries that need to be fixed by the international community - 
unfortunately, they are just not fixable.



The UN and the US were naïve in not learning from the failed intervention in 
Somalia in 1993. Somalia was a huge disaster and the US disappointed many 
people by withdrawing after suffering around 50 casualties at the hands of 
the al-Qaeda fighters. I thought the United States should not have given in 
to the brutality of the terrorists so easily. Perseverance would have 
eventually made the US victorious and Somalis would have been benefited.



Subsequently, violent terrorist activities by Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda and 
numerous other Islamist groups, increased dramatically. The withdrawal of 
the United States from Somalia was blamed for emboldening al-Qaeda and other 
Islamist terrorist groups. That said, looking back we realize that President 
Clinton was right in pulling out of Somalia.



It is my belief that the problems in Muslim countries cannot be fixed by 
outside intervention, howsoever dire the crisis or noble the intervention 
might be. We should have learned this lesson from the Somalia experience. 
Withdrawal from Somalia should have acted as benchmark for future actions.



The Russian experience in Afghanistan was also another lesson, but instead 
we blamed the US for abandoning the Afghans after the Russians withdrawal. 
The country spiralled into a disastrous civil war. The US should have fixed 
the problem before leaving.



But today, I realize that the US did the right thing by leaving. Had the US 
stayed on in Afghanistan after the Russian withdrawal, the terrorists would 
have immediately targeted their weapons at the Americans.



Jihadists from across the world would have continued to poor in to drive the 
American infidels out. The Americans departed leaving the Afghans to take 
care of their homes without interference. Even then, the US could not avert 
the wrath of the Islamists. The US went to Somalia for the noble cause of 
bringing law and order to the civil-war stricken country, but instead got 
terribly pounded by Osama's al-Qaeda, whom the United States' had never 
harmed but only helped. The United States suffered multiple other attacks by 
al-Qaeda in Africa and elsewhere before the worst nightmare of 9/11 (2001) 
descended within her own.



Striking the world's greatest power - that holds the capacity to destroy the 
entire planet scores of times - so violently within her boundary was a blow 
to the pride of the US, and difficult to digest.



Americans, including Clinton, lost their sanity and failed to rationally 
reflect on the Somalia experience that had occurred a mere eight years 
earlier. Arrogant desire to squash Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda and their 
Taliban ally overwhelmed the Americans. Probably, there was that humane 
desire to help the devastated people of Afghanistan too. There was that 
guilt in the minds of the ideologues in Washington for leaving the Afghans 
alone after the Russian withdrawal, which caused extreme misery and 
hardship.



With the result being, as we know, the US went into Afghanistan and 
dislodged the Taliban from power.



Some Taliban and al-Qaeda fighters died, others took refuge in the 
mountains, and yet others found shelter and assistance from across the 
border inside Pakistan. President Musharraf promised to squash the Taliban 
and al-Qaeda inside Pakistan. Afghanistan looked rather quiet and peaceful 
for the first one or two years except some stray incidences of violence. And 
with President Bush and his advisors thinking that Afghanistan was now in 
order, they turned their attention to Saddam Hussein. Since deadly fanatics 
like the Taliban and al-Qaeda were squashed so easily and with so little 
cost, removing Saddam for the good of the Iraqi people - and for creating a 
friendly partner in Iraq - must have looked like an attractive and noble 
mission for the conservative ideologues in Washington. The disastrous 
situation that ensued is only to evident for all to see.



There is now no scope of doubt in anyone's mind that the Iraq intervention 
was a grave mistake. Behind the rhetoric and hopeful views, President Bush 
and his advisors of the Iraq war definitely realize the same. Even Henry 
Kissinger, an architect of the Vietnam War and President Bush's advisor for 
the Afghanistan and Iraq said in a recent AP article that "Military victory 
is no longer possible in Iraq today." [ AP, 20 Nov 2006].



The Afghanistan invasion was also an equally big mistake. NATO-led UN forces 
in Afghanistan are increasingly unlikely to succeed. After the Iraq 
invasion, the Jihadists found a more fertile, secure and welcoming ground in 
Iraq and headed there instead of Afghanistan. The Iraq war has given the 
Afghans some temporary respite. The US forces are poised to leave Iraq soon 
and the Jihadists' next destination will be Afghanistan. NATO is seeking 
reinforcement, but that is not likely to work. Reinforcement will put more 
troops within the reach of the Jihadists. It will  cause greater distress 
for the Jihadists, but the death-counts of foreign troops will also rise. A 
stronger foreign force can only cause the conflict to be prolonged and 
increase casualties on either side, with the end result being the Jihadists 
will be the ones to eventually prevail.



The Washington architects of these wars were probably too carried away by 
the stunning success of the United States after the WWII in replacing 
tyranny with democracy, peace and prosperity in Japan and Germany. The 
interventions in Bosnia-Herzegovina and Kosovo were also successful in 
bringing law and order and reconstruction and reconciliation was moving on 
well.



These hopeful cases of foreign interventions might have inspired the 
architects of the Afghanistan and Iraq wars, but they failed to realize that 
they were going to deal with Muslims here unlike the Buddhists in Japan and 
Christians in Germany, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Kosovo. Muslims are involved 
in the Bosnia-Herzegovina and Kosovo conflicts, but only to benefit in 
achieving autonomy and even independence from these interventions, while the 
native Christians have everything to loose. It is a situation like the 
assistance of the United States to the Islamists in Afghanistan. So long as 
the Islamists need help in achieving their goals at the cost of the 
Christians' interests would the UN forces would be welcome. Once the goal is 
achieved, Jihad will start against the foreign interveners, if not withdrawn 
immediately.



After the midterm election, the victorious Democrats are pushing for an 
early withdrawal of US forces from Iraq. This is an excellent opportunity 
that President Bush should grab immediately. Victory is simply not 
achievable in Iraq. The longer the US stays, the higher will be the price in 
both life and costs. Taking the troops out of Iraq under the pressure from 
the Democrats will save lives and money.  President Bush will also have an 
opportunity to shift some blame of the failure and of the quagmire upon the 
Democrats. This will be the best opportunity to salvage the short-term 
prospect of the Republican Party at home. The way the Jihadist insurgency is 
shaping up the Afghanistan mission is also doomed to fail. The US must also 
exit from Afghanistan as early as possible.



The international community must learn from the lessons of the Somalia, 
Afghanistan and Iraq interventions that they must never intervene in Muslim 
countries. There are too many problems and they are just not fixable. A 
humanitarian effort to fix them only makes the situation worse for the 
world. The UN's effort to bring law and order to Somalia invited the 
Jihadists - and the subsequent withdrawal of US-led forces resulted in the 
emboldening, strengthening and multiplication of Jihadist forces. The 
interventions in Afghanistan and Iraq have made the world a more dangerous 
place vis-à-vis the Jihadist threats. Intervention in non-Muslim countries, 
such as in Liberia, Haiti, Serbian Kosovo and Bosnia-Herzegovina, etc., 
brings democracy, peace and prosperity - but the same in Muslim countries 
turns the world into a more dangerous place.



Kofi Annan of the UN is forcefully insisting on sending troop to Sudan and a 
resolution has already been passed. If the world has learned the necessary 
lesson, they must keep away from Sudan. Al-Qaeda has already warned against 
sending foreign troop to Sudan. If the UN sends foreign troops there, there 
is no doubt that it will invigorate the Jihadists further.



Experiences from Somalia to Iraq tell us that every Muslim is a potential 
recruit for al-Qaeda and other Islamist terrorist group. Leave the Muslim 
world alone. Islam is the all-encompassing perfect code of life for the 
Muslims. Muslims know how to live best by themselves. The outside world 
needs to learn to be impassive about what happens inside the Muslim world.

Alamgir Hussain (PhD) is an author in " Beyond Jihad – Critical Voices from 
Inside " (Academica Press). A collection of his essay can be found here: 
Alamgir Hussain.

http://www.speroforum.com/site/article.asp?idCategory=34&idsub=158&id=6679

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