Hehehe karena ada cheerleader gue-pun jadi bangkit
semangat dan bernafsu sekali hendak meng-KNOCK OUT
orang yang mengaku-ngaku sebagai petinju "super
heavyweight class" ini .. hehehehe ..

--- Bagya nugraha <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

BN: Bung Soto Kaki!!
Ayo dong jelaskan penyebab perang vietnam! Emangnya
murni ideologi?! Go to hell, Uncle Sam!

SATO: Sudah saya jelaskan: Kekhawatiran terhadap
berlakunya Teori Domino. Doktrin Truman dalam kaitan
dengan Perang Dingin yang tak lain dari perang
ideologi. The Declaration of Independence: We hold
these truths to be self-evident, that all men are
created equal, that they are endowed, by their
Creator, with certain unalienable Rights, that among
these are Life, Liberty, and the pursuit of Happiness.

(Kami berpegang pada dalil bahwa segenap manusia
dilahirkan sederajat, bahwa mereka oleh Pencipta
mereka, dibari Hak-Hak yang tidak dapat
diganggu-gugat, yaitu Hak untuk Hidup, Hak untuk
Bebas, dan Hak untuk Mengejar Kebahagiaan.

That to secure these rights, Governments are
instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from
the consent of the governed, That whenever any Form of
Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is
the Right of the People to alter or abolish it, and to
institute new Government, laying its foundation on
such principles, and organizing its powers in such
form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect
their Safety and Happiness.

BN: Ini petikan beberapa artikel:

SATO: Apa yang hendak anda tunjukkan dengan
artikel-artikel ini? Bahwa Perang Vietnam didorong
oleh nafsu untuk menguasai minyak? Seperti judul
thread anda: Because of Oil??

Yang mana dari artikel yang anda copy-paste di bawah
yang menunjukkan bahwa AS berperang di Vietnam karena
hendak menguasai minyak di sana? Saya bahkan terkesan
anda sebenarnya tidak mengerti benar apa yang
tertulis. Hanya meraba-raba maksudnya. Coba tunjukkan
di salah satu artikel ini bahwa Vietnam memiliki
cadangan minyak di DARATAN saat perang mulai berkobar
disana tahun 1957 sampai awal 1960-an. 

Coba baca ini dari salahsatu penggalan artikel yang
anda copy-paste. Gunakan kamus, tanya ke kamus
kata-kata yang anda sebenarnya tidak tahu betul
artinya. Malu bertanya sesat di jalan hehehe ... 

Article: "Viet Nam Finds Success in Program Aimed at
Building Oil and Gas Capacity" Oil and Gas Journal
v92, n48 (Nov 28, 1994)
Summary: Viet Nam's efforts to build its oil and gas
productive capacity are paying off. From having no
hydrocarbon production just a few years ago, Viet Nam
is emerging as one of the Asia-Pacific region's
significant crude exporters. A second major oil field
just started production off Viet Nam's southern coast,
and a string of recent discoveries bodes well for
further oil production increases.

SATO: Anda baca di atas? Artikel itu ditulis tahun
1994. Tigapuluh tujuh tahun sesudah AS mulai
melibatkan diri dalam Perang Vietnam (1957), 19 tahun
sesudah Perang Vietnam berakhir (1975). Dan artikel
itu mengatakan: akhirnya upaya Vietnam membuahkan
hasil, dari tidak ada produksi hidrokarbon sama sekali
HANYA BEBERAPA TAHUN YANG LALU menjadi salahsatu
peng-ekspor signifikan minyak mentah. 

Ngerti apa yang saya maksud? 
Kalau AS mulai melancarkan perang dengan mengirim para
penasehat militer ke Vietnam Selatan tahun 1957, ITU
SAMA SEKALI BUKAN KARENA MINYAK, karena di daratan
Vietnam TIDAK ADA minyak. Untuk apa minyak kalau pada
masa itu tambang-tambang minyak di Texas, Louisiana
dan California masih ber-produksi dengan kapasitas
penuh, dan tambang-tambang minyak Arab Saudi dan Iran
yang danau-danau minyaknya tidak jauh dari permukaan
tanah baru mulai disadap. 

Dan harga minyak waktu itu murah sekali. Hanya tiga
dollar sebarel, jadi minyak waktu itu berlimpah.
Bandingkan dengan harga sekarang yang 60 dollar
sebarrel. Nih saya kutip: 

http://www.wtrg.com/prices.htm
Crude Oil prices ranged between $2.50 and $3.00 from
1948 through the end of the 1960s. The price oil rose
from $2.50 in 1948 to about $3.00 in 1957. When viewed
in 2004 dollars an entirely different story emerges
with crude oil prices fluctuating between $15 - $17
during the same period. 

SATO: Anda barangkali mengatakan, tapi terbukti
sekarang Vietnam merupakan salahsatu negara pengekpsor
minyak paling signifikan. Ya, tetapi darimana minyak
itu diperoleh? Dari LADANG-LADANG MINYAK LEPAS PANTAI
(off Viet Nam's southern coast) yang pada tahun 1957
itu mungkin tidak terpikirkan akan bisa ditambang
karena teknologi yang masih terbatas, dan juga karena
mahal sekali biaya menambangnya di tengah laut.
(Minyak lepas pantai baru "economically feasible"
untuk ditambang sesudah harga minyak naik melampaui 20
dollar se-barrel.)

Dan selain itu, pada masa itu (Perang Vietnam
1957-1975) belum ada lagi ketetapan ZONA EKONOMI
EKSKLUSIF 200 mil berdasarkan Hukum Laut
Internasional. Amerika Serikat dan sebagian besar
negara pada masa itu hanya mengakui wilayah kedaulatan
suatu negara terbatas 3 mil dari garis pantai. Lewat
dari itu adalah perairan internasional. 

Konvensi Hukum Laut Internasional (UN Convention on
the Law of the Sea) Perserikatan Bangsa-Bangsa baru
disetujui dan berlaku tahun 1994. Lalu mengapa AS
harus melancarkan perang untuk menguasai sumber minyak
yang dalam anggapannya waktu itu berada di PERAIRAN
INTERNASIONAL, yang berarti boleh ditambang siapapun
kalau tertarik?

Lalu ucapan Nixon yang anda kutip: 
In a 1965 speech in Asia, Richard Nixon argued in
favor of bombing North Vietnam to protect the "immense
mineral potential" of Indonesia, which he later
referred to as "by far the greatest prize in the
southeast Asian area."

Nixon kan menyebut "potensi mineral Indonesia yang
sangat besar", bukan potensi mineral Vietnam.
Maksudnya, kalau Teori Domino menjadi kenyataan,
jatuhnya Vietnam akan diikuti jatuhnya Laos, Kamboja,
Thailand, Birma, Malaysia, Indonesia dan Filipina.
Jadi Nixon disini berbicara mengenai Teori Domino,
ngerti? 

Dan ini yang dikatakan John F.Kennedy mengenai Teori
Domino itu:

http://www.spartacus.schoolnet.co.uk/VietnamWar.htm
He argued that if South Vietnam became a communist
state, the whole of the non-communist world would be
at risk. If South Vietnam fell, Laos, Cambodia, Burma,
Philippines, New Zealand and Australia would follow.
If communism was not halted in Vietnam it would
gradually spread throughout the world. This view
became known as the Domino Theory. Kennedy went on to
argue: "No other challenge is more deserving of our
effort and energy... Our security may be lost piece by
piece, country by country." Under his leadership,
America would be willing to: "pay any price, bear any
burden, meet any hardship, support any friend, oppose
any foe to assure the survival and success of
liberty."

(Teori Domino ternyata tidak menjadi kenyataan di Asia
Tenggara, malah di Eropa Timur pada akhir 1980-an
dimana rezim-rezim komunis bertumbangan susul-menyusul
hehehehe). 

Saya kira petinju "super heavyweight class" ini sudah
TERKAPAR KNOCKED OUT. 

----
US analyst Ludwell Denny in his book "We Fight for
Oil" noted the domestic oil shortage and says
international diplomacy had failed to secure any
reliable foreign sources of oil for the United States.
Fear of oil shortages would become the most important
factor in international relations, Denny said.

"That empire in Southeast Asia is the last major
resource area outside the control of any one of the
major powers of the globe....I believe that the
condition of the Vietnamese people, and the direction
in which their future may be going, are at this stage
secondary, not primary." (Senator McGee, D-Wyo., in
the U.S. Senate, Feb. 17, 1965)

In a 1965 speech in Asia, Richard Nixon argued in
favor of bombing North Vietnam to protect the "immense
mineral potential" of Indonesia, which he later
referred to as "by far the greatest prize in the
southeast Asian area."

To protect its prizes, the US eventually killed over
four million people in Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos
between 1965 and 1975. In South Vietnam alone, the war
resulted in a million widows and 879,000 orphans. It
destroyed 9000 out of 15,000 hamlets, almost 40,000
square miles of farmland and 18,750 square miles of
forest.

Coordinating Committee for Geoscience Programmes in
East and Southeast Asia (CCOP) http://www.ccop.
or.th/epf/ vietnam/vietnam_ terms.html
PETROLEUM AGREEMENTS "The first type of oil and gas
agreement applied in Vietnam was the concession
system, in which an oil company is permitted by the
host country to explore and produce petroleum on a
certain area on the condition that it must pay to the
State of this country compulsory taxes with a fixed
rate. At the early stage of oil exploration in
offshore southern Vietnam, the former Saigon
Administration allowed oil companies including Pecten,
Mobil, Esso and Marathon to conduct petroleum
activities through concession agreements.

After the establishment of PetroVietnam in 1975, in
recognition of the advantage of the production-sharing
system, it has been chosen as a basic frame for
petroleum contracts."

PETROVIETNAM, EXPLORATION OPPORTUNITIES FOR OIL AND
NATURAL GAS IN VIET NAM (http://www.petrovie tnam.com.
vn/internet/ Promotion. nsf/EXP2002/ PROEXPII_ 2.htm)
I.2 Exploration History The exploration activities for
petroleum started in the early 1960s in the Song Hong
Delta, northern Vietnam, with assistance of the former
Soviet Union. By the late 1970's, almost 40 wells had
been drilled in the region, however, only one small
gas field was commercially developed. At the same
period, exploration went on in the southern
continental shelf through concession agreements signed
with international oil companies including Mobil,
Esso, Pecten, Marathon, and Texas Union.

Article: "Viet Nam Finds Success in Program Aimed at
Building Oil and Gas Capacity" Oil and Gas Journal
v92, n48 (Nov 28, 1994)
Summary: Viet Nam's efforts to build its oil and gas
productive capacity are paying off. From having no
hydrocarbon production just a few years ago, Viet Nam
is emerging as one of the Asia-Pacific region's
significant crude exporters. A second major oil field
just started production off Viet Nam's southern coast,
and a string of recent discoveries bodes well for
further oil production increases.

Russian firms develop Vietnam's oil and gas
(http://therussiajou rnal.com/ index.htm? obj=2021)
By ALEXEI DOROFEYEV / The Russia Journal
21 Dec 1999 Vietnam's gas reserves are estimated at
700 billion to 800 billion cubic meters.

============ ========= ========= ========= ========= =

On 3/13/07, Sato Sakaki <ssakaki2002@ yahoo.com>
wrote:
> NEKOLIM, PERANG VIETNAM dan TEORI DOMINO
> Oleh: Sato Sakaki


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