More data sharing urged to avoid satellite crashes

Fri Feb 13, 2009 11:47pm GMT

By Andrea Shalal-Esa
Reuters

http://uk.reuters.com/articlePrint?articleId=UKTRE51C73720090213


WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Tuesday's collision of two satellites in space 
may not be the last unless big changes are made in the way government 
and commercial satellite operators share data, an expert on satellite 
orbits warned on Friday.

"Just because it took 50 years for it to happen doesn't mean it's going 
to be 50 years before the next one," said retired U.S. Air Force Colonel 
T.S. Kelso, who was the first director of the Air Force Space Command 
Space Analysis Centre and is advising Iridium Satellite LLC, whose 
communications satellite was destroyed in the crash.

Kelso runs a website dedicated to tracking satellites and debris for the 
private Centre for Space Standards & Innovation and has developed a 
sophisticated computer program that provides regular information when 
satellites are going to be passing close by each other or space debris.

The model projected 151 other objects had been more likely to collide on 
Tuesday than the defunct Russian military satellite and the Iridium 
satellite, Kelso said. The closest approach was expected to be about 74 
metres (243 feet) between another Russian satellite and debris from a 
second Russian satellite.

Iridium 33, the satellite that crashed, was due to pass within 527 
metres (1,729 feet) of another object, even closer than the projected 
pass by the Russian satellite, Kelso said.

"The process is only as good as the data. If we don't all share the best 
data we have, we're going to have more collisions," said Kelso, who 
added he had been urging the Air Force for years to adopt use of the 
computer-based system and disclose fully all its orbital data.

He said U.S. officials needed to work more closely with commercial and 
civilian satellite operators and share data to avert future collisions. 
"There's absolutely no reason for anybody to be withholding data that 
could have been used to avoid collisions like the one on Tuesday."

The U.S. Defence Department has said it did not predict the collision 
and Iridium has said it had no warning before the collision, which 
created two big clouds of debris, containing at least 500 to 600 
identifiable pieces.

Some space experts question if the Air Force had better classified data 
in its possession than it makes public, as officials have sometimes 
suggested. If so, it may have simply not focussed on the Iridium satellite.

"There's plenty of blame to go around," said one expert who asked not to 
be identified. "I don't know if you can talk about incompetence, but 
it's pretty borderline."

Bryan Whitman, a Pentagon spokesman, said on Thursday it was not 
possible for the U.S. military to track and predict the movements of all 
18,000 objects in space all the time.

The Air Force and Defence Department historically have resisted 
disclosing what they consider classified data to satellite operators, 
but experts and several nongovernmental organizations have warned for 
years that failure to share data could eventually result in a collision.

Space has become increasingly crowded due to more nations launching 
satellites and growing numbers of dead satellites still in orbit but no 
longer controllable, including a new U.S. missile-warning satellite that 
failed in September.

Marine Corps General James Cartwright, vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs 
of Staff and former head of the command that runs U.S. military space 
operations, said on Thursday he would like to see more 
information-sharing on debris avoidance with Russia, China, France and 
other countries using space.

-- 
================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204 
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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