Space crash called "catastrophic," lots of debris By VLADIMIR ISACHENKOV
Associated Press Writer
Posted: 02/13/2009 04:45:02 AM PST

MOSCOW­The crash of two satellites has generated an estimated tens of
thousands of pieces of space junk that could circle Earth and threaten other
satellites for the next 10,000 years, space experts said Friday.

One expert called the collision "a catastrophic event" that he hoped would
force President Barack Obama's administration to address the long-ignored
issue of debris in space.

Russian Mission Control chief Vladimir Solovyov said Tuesday's smashup of a
derelict Russian military satellite and a working U.S. Iridium commercial
satellite occurred in the busiest part of near-Earth space­some 500 miles
(800 kilometers) above Earth.

"800 kilometers is a very popular orbit which is used by Earth-tracking and
communications satellites," Solovyov told reporters Friday. "The clouds of
debris pose a serious danger to them."

Solovyov said debris from the collision could stay in orbit for up to 10,000
years and even tiny fragments threaten spacecraft because both travel at
such a high orbiting speed.

James Oberg, an experienced aerospace engineer who worked on NASA's space
shuttle program and is now a space consultant, described the crash over
northern Siberia as "catastrophic event." NASA said it was the first-ever
high-speed impact between two intact spacecraft­with the Iridium craft
weighing 1,235 pounds (560 kilograms) and the Russian craft nearly a ton.

"At physical contact at orbital speeds, a hypersonic shock wave bursts
outwards through the structures," Oberg said in e-mailed comments. "It
literally shreds the material into confetti and detonates any fuels."

Most fragments are concentrated near the collision course, but Maj.-Gen.
Alexander Yakushin, chief of staff of the Russian military's Space Forces,
said some debris was thrown into other orbits, ranging from 300 to 800 miles
(500-1,300 kilometers) above Earth.

David Wright at the Union of Concerned Scientists' Global Security said the
collision had possibly generated tens of thousands of particles larger than
1 centimeter (half an inch), any of which could significantly damage or even
destroy a satellite.

Wright, in a posting on the group's Web site, said the two large debris
clouds from Tuesday's crash will spread over time, forming a shell around
Earth. He likened the debris to "a shotgun blast that threatens other
satellites in the region."

Meanwhile, there's no global air traffic control system that tracks the
position of all satellites.

The U.S. military tracks some 17,000 pieces of space debris larger than 2 to
4 inches (5 to 10 centimeters), along with some 900 active satellites. But
its main job is protecting the international space station and other manned
spacecraft, and it lacks the resources to warn all satellite operators of
every possible close call.

"With the amount of spacecraft and debris in orbit, the probability of
collisions is going up more rapidly," said John Higginbotham, chief
executive of Integral Systems Inc., a Lanham, Maryland-based company that
runs ground support systems for satellites.

Oberg said the limited accuracy of tracking data and computer calculations
makes it impossible to predict collisions, only their probability. He said
most satellites also have little fuel to escape what most likely would be a
false alarm.

"The collision offers a literally heaven-sent opportunity for the Obama
administration to take forceful, visible and long-overdue measures to
address a long-ignored issue of 'space debris,'" Oberg said.

In January 2007, China destroyed one of its own defunct satellites with a
ballistic missile at an altitude close to that of Tuesday's collision,
creating thousands of pieces of debris which threatened other spacecraft.

Both NASA and Russia's Roscosmos agencies said there was little risk to the
international space station, which orbits 230 miles (370 kilometers) above
Earth, far below the collision point. An unmanned Russian cargo ship docked
smoothly Friday at the station, delivering water, food, fuel, oxygen and
other supplies as well as a new Russian space suit for space walks.

American astronauts Michael Fincke and Sandra Magnus are aboard the station
along with Russian Yuri Lonchakov. The crew size will be doubled to six
members later this year.

­­­

AP Technology Writer Peter Svensson in New York and AP Science Writer Seth
Borenstein in Washington contributed to this report.

Source: http://www.montereyherald.com/news/ci_11696852?nclick_check=1


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