http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-directv14-2009feb14,0,6858198.story

Bids for Sirius XM may be fueled by longtime rivalry
DirecTV's John Malone and Dish Network's Charles Ergen are said to be in 
talks to strike some type of deal with the debt-laden firm. But just how 
badly they want the satellite radio company is unclear

By Martin Zimmerman
Los Angeles Times

February 14, 2009



The nation's only -- and ailing -- satellite radio company is drawing 
interest from two moguls of space-based entertainment.

Sirius XM Radio Inc. said Friday that it might be forced to file for 
bankruptcy as early as Tuesday if it fails to restructure its debt. As 
the deadline nears, speculation is growing of a possible bidding war 
over the company, which was formed last summer by the merger of Sirius 
Satellite Radio and XM Satellite Radio.

In one corner is John Malone, 67, whose media empire includes a 
controlling stake in El Segundo-based satellite TV provider DirecTV 
Group Inc.

Opposite Malone is 55-year-old Charles Ergen, chief executive of rival 
Dish Network Corp. and its sister company, EchoStar Corp., both of which 
are based in suburban Denver.

The longtime rivals are said to be in talks to strike some type of deal 
with Sirius XM -- and the contest could be spirited. One analyst 
described Malone and Ergen as "cage match contestants," given their 
reputations for playing rough. But just how badly they want the 
satellite radio company is unclear.

Some analysts contend that gaining control of Sirius XM and its 18.9 
million subscribers could provide some benefits to either DirecTV or 
Dish Network, but not necessarily enough to justify going forward with a 
deal.

More likely, they say, Ergen and Malone either see a chance to pick up 
valuable assets on the cheap or simply can't pass up an opportunity to 
make life difficult for an adversary.

"There are very few synergies between satellite TV and satellite radio," 
said Todd Mitchell, an analyst with Kaufman Bros. in New York. "Whenever 
one of these guys looks at an asset, the other guys will look at it just 
to drive up the price. It's just corporate hardball."

Representatives for DirecTV, Dish Network and Sirius XM declined to comment.

So far, Ergen seems the more serious contender. Last year, he made a 
takeover bid for Sirius XM, but was rejected. Since then, EchoStar has 
been buying up the radio company's debt, and reportedly owns most, if 
not all, of the $175 million of Sirius XM bonds that's coming due on 
Tuesday.

Ergen's reported interest in Sirius XM comes as Dish Network is losing 
subscribers and facing increased competition from cable TV and telephone 
companies. Some of the radio provider's satellites are in choice orbits 
and potentially could be "re-purposed" to expand Dish Network's 
high-definition offerings, or even to provide a competitive wireless 
broadband service to rural areas, Mitchell wrote in a recent report.

Sirius XM also has a network of ground facilities that could prove 
valuable to EchoStar, analysts say.

Malone, who controls DirecTV though his Colorado-based Liberty Media 
Corp., may be interested in Sirius XM more as another investment for his 
portfolio -- which includes stakes in Time Warner Inc. and Sprint Nextel 
Corp. -- than as an adjunct to DirecTV, said Benjamin Stretch, an 
analyst with Macquarie Capital USA in New York.

Being able to offer packaged TV and radio services to consumers already 
accustomed to receiving entertainment via satellite could help DirecTV 
woo additional subscribers, some analysts note. And combining call 
centers and other services could help both companies trim costs.

But "any synergies between satellite radio and satellite TV are just 
cream," Stretch said. "They can't be used to justify" a deal with Sirius XM.

At present, DirecTV appears to be doing well enough on its own.

This week, the former subsidiary of Hughes Electronics Corp. said it 
added 301,000 new subscribers in the fourth quarter despite the weak 
economy, beating analysts' forecasts. The company said its average 
revenue per customer -- a key industry yardstick -- increased to $90.46 
from $87.40 a year earlier.

The company, which has 17.6 million subscribers, also predicted 
continued growth in the current quarter, with new subscriber growth at 
or above the levels of a year ago.

Sirius XM, meanwhile, is in increasingly dire straits. Besides dealing 
with a crushing debt load that threatens to push it into bankruptcy 
court, the New York-based company is trying to get out of some of its 
expensive programming deals.

Chief Executive Mel Karmazin -- who at age 65 is another veteran of the 
media wars -- is reportedly trying to renegotiate deals with Major 
League Baseball, the National Football League and Oprah Winfrey's 
production company, among others. Sirius XM also has a five-year, 
$500-million pact with shock jock Howard Stern that expires in 2010.

If it does come down to a choice between Malone and Ergen, the Liberty 
Media chief may have a personal edge. Karmazin and Ergen have clashed in 
the past.

"There's real bad blood between those two," Mitchell said.

Dish Network's stock rose 38 cents to close at $13.58 Friday and is up 
22.5% this year. DirecTV shares, up 1.4% year-to-date, fell 24 cents to 
$23.24, while EchoStar shares slipped 4 cents to $15.17 and are now up 
2% for the year.

Sirius XM's stock, which has fallen almost 97% over the last 12 months, 
gained 3 cents to 10 cents a share.

-- 
================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204 
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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