MARCH 13, 2009

Satellite Operators on Solid Ground
Britain's Inmarsat Reports Healthy Revenue Gain, in
 
By ANDY PASZTOR
Wall Street Journal

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123690843004915001.html


While economic turmoil has laid low industries from construction to 
automobiles, the world's largest satellite-services companies appear to 
be operating in a different orbit, posting strong earnings and rising 
revenues.

London-based Inmarsat PLC on Thursday reported a 20% jump from a year 
earlier in fourth-quarter revenue for its core business. Profit 
excluding taxes rose even more sharply for the year, and the company 
increased its dividend.

Inmarsat -- which provides voice, data and Internet services for 
aviation, maritime and industrial customers -- followed similarly strong 
results announced recently by larger satellite operators, including 
Luxembourg's SES Global SA and France's Eutelsat Communications SA. 
Intelsat Ltd., which has the world's biggest commercial-satellite fleet 
but also is the most highly leveraged of the big satellite operators, is 
expected to report robust numbers next Wednesday.

Satellite services generally lag behind broader economic cycles by 18 
months or more, reflecting what are typically multiyear, fixed-price 
contracts used to lease transponders on satellites.

Since satellite access has become essential to such routine corporate 
activities as credit-card approvals and Internet access on business 
jets, "other discretionary programs tend to be cut" before moves to 
limit spending on satellites, Inmarsat Chairman and Chief Executive 
Andrew Sukawaty said in an interview.

So far, major satellite companies have managed to capitalize on a 
diversified customer base that increasingly relies on space 
communications for operations from video distribution for cable- and 
satellite-television, to a wide range of military communications. 
Inmarsat derives about 50% of world-wide revenue from government 
business, including from the Pentagon.

Along with its competitors, Inmarsat expects to enjoy a revenue boost as 
more U.S. troops are sent into Afghanistan and maneuver around desolate 
regions that lack ground-based communication networks. Steps taken in 
India and elsewhere to open markets to more satellite operators are 
expected to help support growth through at least 2010. "Clearly, there 
is going to be a positive impact" from such long-sought deregulation, 
said Andrea Maleter, technical director of consulting firm Futron Corp., 
based in Bethesda, Md.

Inmarsat's core subscriber revenue climbed to $160.6 million in the 
fourth quarter versus $133.4 million a year earlier. Broadband services 
for ships and airliners grew by double-digit percentages.

Mr. Sukawaty said the results indicate the company's offerings "are 
hitting home with customers even in times of economic uncertainty." The 
company, which doesn't report quarterly earnings, said full-year profit 
excluding taxes rose to $193.8 million from $124.7 million in 2007.

Industry consultant Tim Farrar said that despite recent results for 
leading operators, "there are signs of concern for what happens a year 
or two down the road."

Some analysts and consultants predict the entire sector could face 
trouble in coming quarters. If the global recession drags on, analysts 
predict that operators on both sides of the Atlantic, most of whom are 
wrapping up costly expansion programs, could get saddled with excess 
in-orbit capacity. During past economic downturns, satellite operators 
compensated for such problems by slashing prices and capital spending. 
Smaller, less well-funded challengers already are hurting and finding it 
difficult to keep up with their more-established rivals.

Satellite companies could become vulnerable if maritime users scrap or 
anchor large numbers of cargo ships, or if predictions of satellite 
capacity needed for growth in high-definition video turn out to be 
wrong. So far for Inmarsat, however, demand for broadband connections 
has remained strong, more than outweighing cuts in older-generation 
services. Broadband demand is expected to grow further as more airlines 
offer in-flight voice and messaging services.

Inmarsat doesn't have any debt coming due this year, is gaining control 
of a big distributor and is committed to pay construction costs for only 
one satellite. Unlike other operators focused on more-mature segments, 
the company is pushing ahead with new voice and data services for mobile 
devices and a new generation of satellite phones.

When SES Gobal reported its results for last year, it said the 
utilization rate for in-orbit capacity jumped to 79%, up 6.6 percentage 
points from a year earlier. It has nine satellites under construction.

Eutelsat reported a 7.9% revenue gain for its fiscal first half, which 
ended Dec. 31. Net income jumped 53%.

-- 
================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204 
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
Mail: antunes at uh dot edu

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