India Looks to Wireless Future
India could have 13 million WiMax subscribers in six years

Red Herring Magazine

July 4, 2006

http://www.redherring.com/Article.aspx?a=17466&hed=India%20Looks%20to%20Wireless%20Future


India will have 13 million WiMax subscribers by 2012, up from today's 1.5 
million, according to research released this week by the U.S.-based 
Maravedis Research and India-based Tonse Telecom.

"In the next six years India has the potential to become one of the top 
broadband wireless markets on the planet," said Sridhar Pai, co-author of 
the report and chief executive of Tonse Telecom. "The resulting ecosystem 
and opportunities will make India a dream destination for vendors and 
investors."

The projected growth in wireless broadband is tied to the fact that wired 
telephone services in India haven't kept pace with demand. Over 70 percent 
of households in India have no access to wired lines.

In addition to being limited to about 300 cities and towns, broadband 
landline service, launched in 2005, is still expensive and PC penetration 
is low. There are some 15 million PC users in India compared with more than 
100 million mobile phone users. WiMax, a wireless high-speed service, can 
help fill the gap.

"There is huge potential for broadband wireless Internet and voice-over-IP 
services in India because there are still more than 600,000 villages with 
no basic communications services," said Mr. Pai.

Local players are seizing the opportunity. Bharti TeleVentures, Reliance, 
BSNL, and VSNL have all acquired licenses in the 3.3 GHz range, the 
spectrum that's being used for mobile data. Each of the operators is 
conducting trials and modest commercial deployments of WiMax.

"Larger deployments will start to materialize in early 2007, but volumes in 
the millions will take a few years," said Adlane Fellah, a senior analyst 
with Maravedis, who is another co-author of the report. "The planned 
release of additional spectrum will be critical to this."


Spectrum Shortage

Shortage of spectrum is a serious obstacle for massive adoption of 
broadband wireless and WiMax in India. License holders need at least 20 MHz 
of spectrum to support wide-scale deployments and to build profitable 
businesses, but most operators currently have 12 MHz or less, Mr. Pai said.

Talks are under way between telcos and government agencies, including 
India's departments of space and defense, to release defense-occupied 
spectrum for civil commercial use.

Another barrier is cost. Both service providers and residential end users 
demand that customer equipment be priced at under $100. Indian startups, 
such as Telsima and Beceem Communications, are working on this problem.

Bangalore-based Telsima's products combine system-on-a-chip design with 
smart antenna and radio frequency systems. The approach helps to lower the 
costs of deploying wireless services in dense urban, suburban, and rural 
environments.

Beceem Communications, another Bangalore startup, has developed a modem 
that can deliver Internet data to a laptop at 15 million bits per second. 
Its engineers are now working on more efficient chips to provide 
high-speed, wireless Internet access for mobile devices.


================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
antunes at uh dot edu



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