Merger talk boosts EchoStar
Murdoch's DirectTV reported near deal; antitrust issues linger

By Joyzelle Davis
Rocky Mountain News

July 18, 2006

http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/tech/article/0,2777,DRMN_23910_4851243,00.html


EchoStar's shares hit an 18- month high on Monday following a report that 
larger rival DirecTV is close to buying the Douglas County- based operator 
of the Dish Network satellite TV service.

Some top money managers attending the annual Allen & Co. media mogul 
conference in Sun Valley, Idaho, last week "were convinced (DirecTV 
Chairman Rupert Murdoch) was close to making a deal" to buy EchoStar, the 
Los Angeles Times reported. The paper also said that EchoStar CEO Charlie 
Ergen told guests at the conference that a merger could save $3 billion 
each year in expenses.

Federal regulators four years ago spiked EchoStar's proposed purchase of 
DirecTV from then-owner Hughes Electronics, citing antitrust concerns. 
Since then, "an argument could be made" that the landscape has 
substantially changed now that Comcast and Time Warner control the cable 
market and phone companies are entering the video market, DirecTV's CEO 
Chase Carey told the Times.

"It makes a lot of sense," said Matthew Harrigan, an analyst at Greenwood 
Village-based Janco Partners. "A lot of time, you put these companies 
together and the cost savings aren't that evident. But there are enormous 
overlaps between EchoStar and DirecTV, and every 1 percent improvement in 
margin is worth over $250 million" in savings.

EchoStar has 12.2 million subscribers, while El Segundo, Calif.-based 
DirecTV has 15.4 million.

Talk of a merger between the two started in March, after DirecTV Chief 
Financial Officer Mike Palkovic told an industry conference that "we'd be 
crazy not to look at it." But he added that "market conditions" would first 
have to change for the deal to pass regulatory scrutiny.

Ergen, addressing the speculation in a May earnings call, insisted EchoStar 
likes its independence but added that "we're not suicidal as a company, and 
if there's opportunities out there that make sense," management will look 
at them.

If Ergen were to sell, it wouldn't be for cheap, analysts said. Ergen, 
EchoStar's controlling shareholder, would want "at the very least" $40 per 
share, said Wachovia Securities analyst Jeff Wlodarczak in a research note.

Murdoch, in an interview with the Times, dismissed the idea that Ergen 
would sell. EchoStar spokeswoman Kathie Gonzalez declined to comment, as 
did DirecTV spokesman Robert Mercer.

The two are cooperating on a joint bid for next month's U.S. auction of 
wireless airwaves, which could allow the satellite providers to launch 
their own Internet service. DirecTV and EchoStar's technology doesn't allow 
them to offer phone or Internet service, putting them at a disadvantage 
against cable companies' attractively priced bundles of phone, Internet and 
video service. Phone companies also are entering the market with similar 
bundles.

Wlodarczak noted that while phone companies present another competitor in 
cities, rural markets still rely on DirecTV and EchoStar for TV service. 
That could create an antitrust concern for regulators.

Janco's Harrigan also cautioned about taking a report out of Idaho summer 
camp for media titans too seriously. "People are always looking for news 
out of the Allen conference," Harrigan said. "I'd be a little careful" 
about reading too much into the report.


================================
George Antunes, Political Science Dept
University of Houston; Houston, TX 77204
Voice: 713-743-3923  Fax: 713-743-3927
antunes at uh dot edu



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