At 09:27 AM 9/1/99 -0400, you wrote:
>It is very likely that we will succed to reach the Y2K goal. Maybe it is
>time now to set a new one? I stick with the suggestion I made a few months
>ago: 10 000 000 before the new millenium?
>
>What do you think?
I think we'll now endlessly debate whether the millennium begins at
12:00:01 on January 1st, 2000, or one year later than that. ;-)
With roughly 71 CPU years a day, and linear growth to about 101 CPU years a
day in 16 months (a SWAG), that's an average of 86 years per day, or 486.6
days. That's 41,800 CPU years between now and the first day of 2001.
With only 14,944 years to go to clear those exponents less than 10.3MM, I'd
say you stand a fair chance of succeeding, even though the inevitable last
minute stragglers will take much longer than expected. (No, not the
poaching thread again!). We stand a fair shake at getting those less than
11MM cleared.
Now, if you thought that the Millennium begins on the first day of 2,000,
well, then we'll only get about 8750 CPU years done between now and then,
and will not likely have cleared all of those exponents.
Have I re-opened enough old wounds (poaching, when is the millennium), or
should I talk about overclocking and Island theory now? ;-)
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