At 10:49 AM 9/1/99 -0400, Jeff Woods wrote:
>At 09:27 AM 9/1/99 -0400, you wrote:
>
>>It is very likely that we will succed to reach the Y2K goal. Maybe it is
>>time now to set a new one? I stick with the suggestion I made a few months
>>ago: 10 000 000 before the new millenium?

>With roughly 71 CPU years a day, and linear growth to about 101 CPU years a 
>day in 16 months (a SWAG), that's an average of 86 years per day, or 486.6 
>days.    That's 41,800 CPU years between now and the first day of 2001.
>
>With only 14,944 years to go to clear those exponents less than 10.3MM, I'd 
>say you stand a fair chance of succeeding, even though the inevitable last 
>minute stragglers will take much longer than expected.   (No, not the 
>poaching thread again!).   We stand a fair shake at getting those less than 
>11MM cleared.

You are probably right. I didn't think we could could acheived easily a jump
of 5 millions in one year. Also, in the calculation you have to take acount
that
about 1/3 of the CPU is devoted to double-checking. Overall, 10 millions looks
a fairly honest goal for January 1 2001.

Yvan Dutil


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