Hello Brian,

> In the statistical sense, yes, it is possible to predict. That is rather 
> similar to the statistician's argument during the briefing for the first 1000
> bomber raid over Cologne in May 1942 that predicted only two aircraft would
> collide, despite the incredible density of aircraft over the target, at any rate
> compared with modern air traffic control standards! The question asked by the
> crews was, of course, "_Which_ two aircraft are going to collide?"

I'm convinced you are not aware that we remember the most terrible aircraft to 
aircraft collision ever; tomorrow 25 years ago. Tenerife, KLM 747 spinning up 
while a Pan Am Clipper was on the runway in dense fog.

http://aviation-safety.net/database/1977/770327-1.htm

Since then I've flown 622,253 km but that accident still gives me the shivers.

cheers,

teun
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