Everything old is new, has a $31.5 billion price tag (plus, plus, if history is any guide), no realistic implementation timeline (plus, plus, if history is any guide), and is no better (if history is any guide)...

This is in part because the 'Brand New ATC System' concept, description and RFI address none of the root causes that drive the need for ATC intervention, and as a result, brick and mortar and waypoint infrastructure, workload, staffing, and delays.

Specifically, no NAS user self-helps, or is incentivized to self-help, or even seems interested in self-help, to system-optimize, reduce self-created ATC workloads, mitigate its own contributions to point-overload congestion, the need for ATC intervention, and resulting delays.

No NAS user system-optimizes its day-of-flight trajectories/timing/sequencing, reduces point overload congestion/delays/flying minutes/emissions/costs, frees up capital/labor assets/latent utilization, feeds benefits back into schedule plans.

System-optimization of day-of-flight aircraft trajectories are stand-alone/hub and honest-brokered multi-airline/complex airspace concepts independently proven to work and deliver the above results for more than two decades.

Business as usual isn’t cutting it. Airlines could be incentivized with best equipped/most compliant/best served tiers of service, and absent that carrot should be mandated to engage self-help, in the nation's interests.

Literally every constituency -- customers, employees, investors, communities served, GDP, FAA, ATC workloads, and mitigating the need for an increasing number of certified controllers included -- would benefit.

Having said that, there is brief mention of one possible conceptual area of improvement -- consolidation.

A "Single-NAS" concept, CONUS free of sector boundaries from departure control to arrival control, could eliminate most of the need for controllers' foreground and background interaction, confirmations, hand-offs, and related workload, brick and mortar infrastructure and waypoints, and could facilitate the 'free flight' 'fly direct' that has been promised since the 1970s, and fleet-installed and capable for decades.

- Bob Mann


On 7/17/2025 8:41 AM, Doug Church via Mifnet wrote:
We don't know that yet, Michael. There is a lot of amazing new technology that is being developed out there that could open up a much higher level of automation and efficiency in the system that very well could result in a noticeable effect on flight delays. I've seen it myself. Only thing stopping it from being installed is money and will - and this current Administration and Congress so far is displaying both in large amounts.

It's a potentially very exciting time for the industry. Like nothing any of us have ever seen, only imagined.

-Doug Church

On Wed, Jul 16, 2025 at 7:10 PM ATHGroup--- via Mifnet <mifnet@lists.mifnet.com> wrote:

    Even if Duffy gest all the funds he wants in a timely manner (not
    likely), this upgrade will do nothing for ATC delays.

    Air traffic control overhaul to cost $31.5 billion, transportation
    secretary tells Congress
    
<https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/air-traffic-control-overhaul-to-cost-31-5-billion-transportation-secretary-tells-congress/ar-AA1IJuwV?ocid=msedgntp&pc=LCTS&cvid=80406a933d3e4140c842e487d5262fd1&ei=28>

    ATC does not cause delays. “/ATC Delays/” are a myth that everyone
    just keeps repeating without a basis in fact. Does ATC vector and
    delay aircraft near the airport - of course. But ATC is simply
    reacting to the "/day of/", random point overload that
    airlines/operators allowed to occur (described below), which was
    evident and preventable by the individual airline/operator hours
    prior to landing.

    Of course, an equipment failure would cause a delay, but these are
    Air Navigation Service Provider (ANSP, e.g., NATS, FAA, etc.)
    delays and not “/ATC/” delays. There is a difference.

    While leaving separation and safety to ATC, airlines must step up
    and take over the real time, “/day of/” management over the
    movement of their aircraft */to offload ATC to reduce system
    stress/* and integrate the airline’s business needs into the flow.
    This alone would have a huge positive impact on our aviation
    infrastructure.

    The solution is simple - if airlines prevented the stress created
    by the "/day of/" random point overload by managing their aircraft
    in real time, beginning hours prior to landing, so as to deliver a
    stable, predictable, business based, pre sequenced aircraft flow
    to the airport, ATC won't need to vector or delay the aircraft to
    sequence the flow.

    */A pre-sorted aircraft arrival flow into an airport (managed by
    the individual airline/user) = less vectoring = less stress = less
    delay = less fuel = less CO2 = a more efficient and safer airline
    and ATC system, and it starts with “day of” aircraft management by
    the individual airline, not ATC./*

    Michael

    xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

    R. Michael Baiada

    cell - (303) 521-6047

    rmbai...@greenlandings.net

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