As one who has been in the Baltics since the morning after Russia invaded Ukraine (so much for "It will only be three or four months, max..."), I have zero confidence in this statement:
"This puts Moscow and St. Petersburg potentially at risk if Putin goes haywire and tries to grab the Baltics.." It will be like Ukraine: a front trying to hold back invading forces while missiles and drones rain down upon cities. Look how close Vilnius is to Belarus - 30 km. Its airport is already constantly closed due to balloons from the border. Riga is not much further from the Russian border. They may defend what has not yet been taken, if anything. Meanwhile, nobody is going to attack Russian cities. Zero deterrence value there. When it gets to Poland, Europe might wake up. TR ---------------------------------------- *From: *Dan Solon via Mifnet <[email protected]> *To: *[email protected] *CC: *Dan Solon <[email protected]> *Date: *2026-02-06T09:03:34Z *Subject: *[Mifnet 🛰 75368] Re: Fw: A Wargame Shows Just How Vulnerable Europe Is to a Russian Attack > At the risk of drifting into NNN territory, it occurs to me that the European > component of NATO has a hole card that Putin should consider. > Both the UK and France have thermonuclear weapons and delivery systems, > including in both cases SLBM nuclear-powered submarines, > at least one of which is at sea at all times. It also reflects DeGaulle's > far-sighted perception of potential US unreliability vis-a-vis a Russian > threat, leading him to create an independent French thermonuclear deterrent. > > This puts Moscow and St. Petersburg potentially at risk if Putin goes haywire > and tries to grab the Baltics.. It also creates an excellent reason >  for Poland to go the Israeli route: Acquire thermonuclear weapons without > publicly admitting the fact. > > I will stand by for comments from Mifnetters who have spent time at the sharp > operational end of shooting wars. > > Daniel Solon > Totally amateur wargamer > > On Fri, Feb 6, 2026 at 5:21 AM Jack Keady via Mifnet > <[email protected]> wrote: >> Has Ukraine cost Russia many war planes ? >> >> Sent from the all new AOL app for >> [https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.aol.mobile.aolapp]keady >> >> *To:* >> *Sent:* Thu, Feb 5, 2026 at 14:55 >> *Subject:* A Wargame Shows Just How Vulnerable Europe Is to a Russian Attack >> >> www.wsj.com[http://www.wsj.com] >> >> *wsj.com* >> >> 🔗 >> https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/a-wargame-shows-just-how-vulnerable-europe-is-to-a-russian-attack-12dfdbfa?st=SkZ8NW&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink >> >>  >> >> >> -------------------------------------------------------------------------- >> Revised: 20250507 >> >> You are receiving The Mifnet because you requested to join this list. >> >> The Mifnet is largely a labor of love, however the infrastructure isn't >> exactly cost-free. If you'd care to make a small contribution to the effort, >> please know that it would be greatly appreciated: >> https://wardell.us/url/mifbit >> >> All posts sent to the list should abide by these policies: >> >> 1) List members acknowledge that participation in Mifnet is a privilege--not >> a right. >> 2) Posts are always off the record, absent specific permission from the >> author. >> 3) The tone of discussions is collegial. >> 4) Posts are expected to be in reasonably good taste. >> 5) We discuss ideas and not personalities, and we don't speak ill of other >> Mifnet members. >> >> * The Mifnet WEB SITE is: >>  https://www.mifnet.com/ >> >> * To UNSUBSCRIBE from this list at any time please visit: >>  https://lists.mifnet.com/ >>  OR: SEND THIS MESSAGE via email: >> [email protected]?subject=leave[http://[email protected]?subject=leave] >> >> * Send Mifnet mailing list POSTS/SUBMISSIONS to: >>  [email protected] >> >> * You may reach the person managing The Mifnet at: >>  [email protected] >> >> * Please consider the DIGEST version of The Mifnet, which consolidates all >> list traffic into 1-3 >>  messages daily. See instructions at: >>  https://lists.mifnet.com/ >> >> * Manage your personal Mifnet SUBSCRIPTION at: >>  https://lists.mifnet.com/ >> >> * For a list of all available Mifnet commands, SEND THIS MESSAGE via email: >>  >> [email protected]?subject=help[http://[email protected]?subject=help] >> >> * View The Mifnet LIST POLICIES and PRIVACY POLICY at: >>  https://mifnet.com/index.php/policies >> >> * View instructions for Mifnet DELIVERY PROBLEMS at: >>  https://mifnet.com/index.php/delivery-problems >> >> * View The Mifnet LIST ARCHIVE at: >>  https://lists.mifnet.com/hyperkitty/list/[email protected]/
-------------------------------------------------------------------------- Revised: 20250507 You are receiving The Mifnet because you requested to join this list. The Mifnet is largely a labor of love, however the infrastructure isn't exactly cost-free. If you'd care to make a small contribution to the effort, please know that it would be greatly appreciated: https://wardell.us/url/mifbit All posts sent to the list should abide by these policies: 1) List members acknowledge that participation in Mifnet is a privilege--not a right. 2) Posts are always off the record, absent specific permission from the author. 3) The tone of discussions is collegial. 4) Posts are expected to be in reasonably good taste. 5) We discuss ideas and not personalities, and we don't speak ill of other Mifnet members. * The Mifnet WEB SITE is: https://www.mifnet.com/ * To UNSUBSCRIBE from this list at any time please visit: https://lists.mifnet.com/ OR: SEND THIS MESSAGE via email: [email protected]?subject=leave * Send Mifnet mailing list POSTS/SUBMISSIONS to: [email protected] * You may reach the person managing The Mifnet at: [email protected] * Please consider the DIGEST version of The Mifnet, which consolidates all list traffic into 1-3 messages daily. See instructions at: https://lists.mifnet.com/ * Manage your personal Mifnet SUBSCRIPTION at: https://lists.mifnet.com/ * For a list of all available Mifnet commands, SEND THIS MESSAGE via email: [email protected]?subject=help * View The Mifnet LIST POLICIES and PRIVACY POLICY at: https://mifnet.com/index.php/policies * View instructions for Mifnet DELIVERY PROBLEMS at: https://mifnet.com/index.php/delivery-problems * View The Mifnet LIST ARCHIVE at: https://lists.mifnet.com/hyperkitty/list/[email protected]/
