guardian.co.uk

President 'has four years to save Earth'


US must take the lead to avert eco-disaster
Robin McKie in New York The Observer, Sunday 18 January 2009


Barack Obama has only four years to save the world. That is the stark
assessment of Nasa scientist and leading climate expert Jim Hansen
who
last week warned only urgent action by the new president could halt
the devastating climate change that now threatens Earth. Crucially,
that action will have to be taken within Obama's first
administration,
he added.


Soaring carbon emissions are already causing ice-cap melting and
threaten to trigger global flooding, widespread species loss and
major
disruptions of weather patterns in the near future. "We cannot afford
to put off change any longer," said Hansen. "We have to get on a new
path within this new administration. We have only four years left for
Obama to set an example to the rest of the world. America must take
the lead."


Hansen said current carbon levels in the atmosphere were already too
high to prevent runaway greenhouse warming. Yet the levels are still
rising despite all the efforts of politicians and scientists.


Only the US now had the political muscle to lead the world and halt
the rise, Hansen said. Having refused to recognise that global
warming
posed any risk at all over the past eight years, the US now had to
take a lead as the world's greatest carbon emitter and the planet's
largest economy. Cap-and-trade schemes, in which emission permits are
bought and sold, have failed, he said, and must now be replaced by a
carbon tax that will imposed on all producers of fossil fuels. At the
same time, there must be a moratorium on new power plants that burn
coal - the world's worst carbon emitter.


Hansen - head of the Goddard Institute of Space Studies and winner of
the WWF's top conservation award - first warned Earth was in danger
from climate change in 1988 and has been the victim of several
unsuccessful attempts by the White House administration of George
Bush
to silence his views.


Hansen's institute monitors temperature fluctuations at thousands of
sites round the world, data that has led him to conclude that most
estimates of sea level rises triggered by rising atmospheric
temperatures are too low and too conservative. For example, the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says a rise of between 20cm
and 60cm can be expected by the end of the century.


However, Hansen said feedbacks in the climate system are already
accelerating ice melt and are threatening to lead to the collapse of
ice sheets. Sea-level rises will therefore be far greater - a claim
backed last week by a group of British, Danish and Finnish scientists
who said studies of past variations in climate indicate that a far
more likely figure for sea-level rise will be about 1.4 metres,
enough
to cause devastating flooding of many of the world's major cities and
of low-lying areas of Holland, Bangladesh and other nations.


As a result of his fears about sea-level rise, Hansen said he had
pressed both Britain's Royal Society and the US National Academy of
Sciences to carry out an urgent investigation of the state of the
planet's ice-caps. However, nothing had come of his proposals. The
first task of Obama's new climate office should therefore be to order
such a probe "as a matter of urgency", Hansen added.



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