I wonder what you think about the superstitions of our new leader?
http://www.time.com/time/politics/whitehouse/photos/0,27424,1811278,00.html


On Jan 20, 10:01 pm, "willy minnen"
<[email protected]> wrote:
> Right, Molly, that is the priciple that was the only rule in my groups in
> Care2 too. When I freed myself from religions I became aware this was the
> reason why I became an atheist: not to imitate the religiolics in preaching
> my opinion.
>
>
>
>   ----- Original Message -----
>   From: Molly Brogan
>   To: "Minds Eye"
>   Sent: Tuesday, January 20, 2009 11:41 PM
>   Subject: [Mind's Eye] Re: what should we do?
>
>   open and honest dialogue with someone who is
>   completely convinced that he is right and that, therefore, other
>   opinions count for nothing
>
>   this position does not allow dialogue.  Dialogue by definition,
>   requires a suspension of judgment.  Debate is the format for right and
>   wrong.
>
>   On Jan 20, 1:54 pm, frantheman <[email protected]> wrote:
>   > Defeasable reasoning is - beyond the serious reflective thinkers you
>   > cite, Neil, and other similar models, such as Popper's for the
>   > development of scientific knowledge and the open society - so deeply
>   > grounded in common sense, that one is inclined to think it's too
>   > obvious to even mention. And yet, as you point out, this approach to
>   > problems is so lacking as to be almost invisible and impotent.
>
>   > We have raised attributes such as aggressiveness, competitiveness,
>   > certainty and success to cardinal virtues and forgotten values such as
>   > humility, reflection and respect. Our advocates are taught to see the
>   > arguments of others as points to be countered rather than opinions
>   > they could learn from. Whether it's atheists regarding believers as
>   > superstitious fools and believers atheists as unethical liars, or
>   > Palestinians Israelis as imperialistic landgrabbers and Israelis
>   > Palestinians as fanatical terrorists, confrontational (self-)certainty
>   > promulgates destructive conflict and blocks growth and progress.
>
>   > I think, like you, there are better ways of takling problems or,
>   > perhaps better, recognising the possibilities they contain for us.
>
>   > There is one question, however, for which I don't have an answer; how
>   > do you engage in an open and honest dialogue with someone who is
>   > completely convinced that he is right and that, therefore, other
>   > opinions count for nothing?
>
>   > Francis
>
>   > On 20 Jan., 13:14, archytas <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>   > > I've become interested in something called defeasible reasoning of
>   > > late. I rather like the idea because it lets us argue from the
>   > > perspective that one might be wrong. I can't get any moral authority
>   > > from golden salamanders, so I'm interested in defeasible obligations,
>   > > which give rise to defeasible inferences about what we are, all things
>   > > considered, obliged to do. Thus I think we should act as though
>   > > mankind is screwing up big-time and get more control of global
>   > > warming, even if the evidence eventually turns out to have been
>   > > misinterpreted. The ideas are not new. David Ross, in 1930,
>   > > discussed the phenomena of prima facie obligations. The existence of a
>   > > prima facie obligation gives one good, but defeasible grounds, for
>   > > believing that one ought to fulfill that obligation. When formal
>   > > deontic logic was developed by Chisholm and others in the 1960s, the
>   > > use of classical logic gave rise to certain paradoxes, such as
>   > > Chisholm's paradox of contrary-to-duty imperatives. These paradoxes
>   > > can be resolved by recognizing that the inference from imperative to
>   > > actual duty is a defeasible one.
>   > > Prediction always involves an element of defeasibilty. If one predicts
>   > > what will, or what would, under some hypotheis, happen, one must
>   > > presume that there are no unknown factors that might interfere with
>   > > those factors and conditions that are known. Any prediction can be
>   > > upset by such unanticipated interventions. Prediction thus proceeds
>   > > from the assumption that the situation as modeled constitutes a closed
>   > > world: that nothing outside that situation could intrude in time to
>   > > upset one's predictions. In addition, we seem to presume that any
>   > > factor that is not known to be causally relevant is in fact causally
>   > > irrelevant, since we are constantly encountering new factors and novel
>   > > combinations of factors, and it is impossible to verify their causal
>   > > irrelevance in advance. This closed-world assumption is one of the
>   > > principal motivations for McCarthy's logic of circumscription
>   > > (McCarthy 1982; McCarthy 1986).
>
>   > > Now this may be a bit clumsy, but I would hope all could see (say)
>   > > that Chris and I could agree on what we ought to try to do about
>   > > "global warming" based on a shared agreement that are arguments are
>   > > defeasible (and possibly bullshit ridden). This is an altogether
>   > > different stance in argument than points scoring, ad hominem and the
>   > > rest. One might have to be careful in language when religious figures
>   > > with surgical instruments are around, but circumscription allows the
>   > > possibility that one's opponents may be right and takes into account
>   > > what we don't currently know and that our opinions change in the flow
>   > > of time forward.. I know I do not have a second sister, due to the
>   > > absence of one - but would be convinced to change my mind should one
>   > > appear. I know there is no 10.55 a.m. train into town, as none is
>   > > listed. I have never knowingly sensed dark matter and have worked
>   > > without knowing about it. My work might well take a different tack if
>   > > the LHC finds the stuff. The point, I guess, is that we don't know
>   > > much about the nature of the argument we so readily enter into, and
>   > > how restricted it often is. I believe we could have much deeper,
>   > > multi-voiced arguments about what we should do and would find one very
>   > > loud, censoring tone preventing us taking circumspect action - our
>   > > primitive and brutal notion of what an economy is.
>
>   > > I doubt anyone here would want to read these papers, but some might be
>   > > interested to note the area they come from.
>
>   > > McCarthy, John M. and Patrick J. Hayes, 1969, “Some Philosophical
>   > > Problems from the Standpoint of Artificial Intelligence”, in Machine
>   > > Intelligence 4, B. Meltzer and D. Mitchie (eds.), Edinburgh: Edinburgh
>   > > University Press.
>   > > –––, 1977, “Epistemological Problems of Artificial Intelligence”, in
>   > > Proceedings of the 5th International Joint Conference on Artificial
>   > > Intelligence, Pittsburgh: Computer Science Department, Carnegie-Mellon
>   > > University.
>   > > –––, 1982, “Circumscription — A Form of Non-Monotonic Reasoning”,
>   > > Artificial Intelligence, 13: 27-39, 171-177.
>   > > –––, 1986, “Application of Circumscription to Formalizing Common-Sense
>   > > Knowledge”, Artificial Intelligence, 28: 89-111.- Hide quoted text -
>
> - Show quoted text -
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