[John]
Will that *really* be your final comment Arlo? I wouldn't even want to assign a number to *that* probability.

[Arlo]
Craig indicated he wished to bring our exchange to an "agree to disagree" closure. You appear to want to keep it going. So I respond...

[John]
The Laws of Probability don't control your choices.  You do.

[Arlo]
When did I say that anything "controls" you choices. Of course, YOU do. Duh. But for anything to be a real choice, the chance that you could choose among all options MUST exist; hence some probability must exist for all possible options you "choose" among.

So for a choice between A and B to exist, for you to be free to choose one or the other, some probability must exist for your choosing either option. If there was ZERO probability that you would choose B, then you have not evidenced a choice, you merely responded with machinistic response.

[John]
The laws of probability only describes the choices you might make. It gives you no guidance or values with which to choose.

[Arlo]
Probability is the result of value. Something that is valued is more probable. But it is never certain.

[John]
Choice is fundamental, probability is just a way of describing and predicting - inexact sciences.

[Arlo]
Choice depends on probability. No probability = No choice. "Choice", I'd say, is a value realization in a sea of probability. Before you make your choice, there are only probabilities. You act of choice is a value response of that moment to that sea of probability. "Static patterns" are "stable patterns of preference", or said another way, "stable patterns of choice". They are patterns of probability. And that probability is based on a freedom (DQ) that ensures nothing is certain.

[John]
To clarify my own position, Choice is fundamental to self, but self is also a system and any system that doesn't account for randomness is doomed to fail.

[Arlo]
"Choice" is a value response to freedom/chance. Probability is the formation of stable patterns of preferences out of immediate experiences localized in a sea of uncertainty.


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