Chuck Simmons wrote:

> Tim Wunder wrote:
> 
>>JTK wrote:
>>
>>
>>>In article <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>, DeMoN_LaG says...
>>>
>>>
>>>>jesus X wrote:
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>Marc Leger wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>>You're telling me Microsoft is going from 86% to 20%.  That's a decrease of
>>>>>>66%.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>Umm, there was a time when Netscape had 90+ percent of the market, and MS was
>>>>>nowhere to be found. Pinhead.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>He's just saying it's impossible for that to reverse.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>Yeah, um, no, he's saying that it's impossible for Mozilla or the Politburo at
>>>Netscape "Open"HQ to play any part in such a hypothetical reversal.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>He's like a dumb
>>>>supervillian.  The hero has a weapon that makes him unstoppable, and the
>>>>villain takes it away.  The villain then thinks he is unstoppable,
>>>>because he has the weapon.  He doesn't realize that at one point his
>>>>adversary had it, and he lost anyway
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>The hero had... then the... and he said... what now?
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>>>>BUWHAHAHA!  Yeah right.  I hope Windows XP is Netscape and Mozilla's final
>>>>>>nail in their coffin.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>Yeah, an OS is going to kill an application that runs on more platforms that the
>>>>>OS. Suuuure.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>I imagine he thinks that somehow IE on XP is going to run on Linux and BeOS?
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>I imagine 99.44% of the desktops (and 99.99999999999999% of the laptops) in the
>>>world will never know what a Linux or a Beos is.
>>>
>>>
>>>--
>>>JTK
>>>
>>>
>>IBM had, what, 90% of the PC desktops "in the beginning", 95%, 99%?
>>Netscape had 90% of the browser "market" (until MS made it a non-market
>>by giving it away and "integrating" it into the O/S). The Bell
>>corporation had 100% of the telephone (the hardware portion) business.
>>Monopolies, er, large beaurocracies fail, eventually. Windows XP and
>>.NET could be Microsoft's Microchannel Architecture, although I don't
>>think it has the technical advantage that IBM's MCA had over ISA.
>>
>>MS' desktop monopoly will fail, with or without g'ment intervention.
>>Whether it's linux, Be, Apple or someone else that brings it down. It
>>will fail.
>>
>>Tim
>>
> 
> The fact is that IBM has not failed. It is still the largest computer
> company in the world. Not by a small margin but by a factor of at least
> five. I am impressed that IBM has been able to adjust through hard
> times. So many companies cannot adjust. Can Microsoft weather
> competition? Not with Bill Gates. The mentality is wrong. I have seen it
> in other companies that faced competition. IBM remains the front runner
> because IBM found a path to business models that work. Can Microsoft do
> that? Maybe but they need to get some world class managers in place and
> quit farting around in federal court.
> 
> Chuck
> 

I never said IBM failed. IBM's desktop PC business failed and IBM's MCA 
failed. You can add IBM's OS/2 as another failure. IBM, however, is 
still alive and well. I am not predicting the demise of MS, I'm 
predicting the demise of MS Windows on the desktop, perhaps as the 
result of the failure of .NET and Windows/Office XP, perhaps, even, as 
the result of the success of .NET and XP. And if I'm wrong, I'm just 
another MS basher who dowsn't know what he's taking about. But if I'm 
right, I'm just too damn smart ;)

Tim


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