I took the time (and it did take time) to read Michael Atherton's
oft-referenced Scientific American citation. Since Sci American charges
for archives, I found the full paper that the article was based on at:
http://www.ilr.cornell.edu/cheri/wp14.pdf

The following gets long and somewhat weedy - but that is the nature of
academia, where people can pettifog over details through a tenured
career.

I think Michael is overstating the authors' conclusion when he wrote,
"There is plenty of evidence that reducing class sizes is very expensive
and has questionable returns. Please see the Scientific American
article."

Fundamentally, the authors DO NOT deny a link between lower class size
and higher student achievement. They acknowledge the validity of the
Tennessee study (which generally supports lower class sizes) writing,
"Suppose that we take at face value the findings from the Tennessee
experiment that appear to indicate that class size reductions in the
early grades have a long-lasting impact and that this impact is greatest
for students from disadvantaged backgrounds. **Our review of findings
from large-scale quasi-experimental studies from other countries tends
to support the Tennessee results.** (emphasis mine)

The authors' gripe, however, is that given all the other circumstances
that can affect student achievement, there should be  MORE studies
around the nation to support the nationwide adoption of the lower class
size argument.

Michael's question to Joseph Erickson - to explain "why the authors of
the Scientific American article did not find this study to be conclusive
evidence" - is not that the research is wrong (they specifically say it
is probably right and confirmed by studies in other countries). The
authors merely don't like that such a sweeping policy change has relied
on one localized study. (Though I assume the 2-sigma research Erickson
cites might make that 2 studies.)

The authors conclude that their class size discussion is meant sound a
"cautionary note" - not the blatant negativity inferred by Michael's
argument.

Their biggest concern - something Michael has echoed - is whether class
size reductions are the optimum taxpayer expenditure. They mention
concerns that "new" teachers could be of poor quality - though I would
challenge Michael, if this is a problem of Minneapolis's policy, to
document it.

Significantly, the authors do not specify an alternative course, except
to bring up other studies that - at least according to the cites -
appear no more numerous or conclusive than the Tennessee one. There are
lots of good ideas there - some that Minneapolis may also be doing.

Personally - anecdotally - I think there should be skepticism about
whether small class sizes work. But fundamentally, the authors cite so
many mitigating variables in their paper that it's hard for me to
believe that outside studies would ever be conclusive. So where does
that bring us? To a localized experiment - trying something where
certainty doesn't exist but there is at least some evidence that the
policy works (as in class size reduction, which, by the way, the authors
note was more potent for those with lower incomes in Tennessee).

Parents, educators and community members are watching the results of
this experiment right now. Many of them pay closer attention to this
than anything else government does, because it is more meaningful to
their families than anything government does. Let's not dismiss
eyewitness experience out of hand and insist on for a certainty that
will probably never exist.

David Brauer
King Field

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