Terrell writes:

> McKinsey on page 4 tells us that the past 10 years was worse, quoting:
<snip>
> ?average minus? or below by city inspectors moving from 13.1% in 1995
> to 21.5% in 1999
> 
> 
> So using neighborhood based planning with an NRP program that allegedly
> spends about half its money on housing we gained 52 housing units in 5
> years.

I think it is unfair to blame NRP for the city's net housing loss. NRP has
set up to spend 52 percent of its money on housing - not affordable housing,
not rental housing, but housing. Although some authors of the NRP
legislation CLAIM the money was supposed to be spent on affordable housing,
they didn't write the law that way - and, as a reporter who covered the
birth, didn�t want to. At the time (late '80s), the city was worried about
**declining** property values, so middle-income housing-stock preservation
was a much bigger worry than it is today.

Remember, most of the NRP plans were drawn up and most of the money
dedicated before property values zoomed (I know; I bought my house cheap in
'94 and the big bump-up didn't happen until '96 or '97).

Also, as far as the declining quality of rental stock goes, there could be
other explanations. For example, a lot of the better quality stuff has been
converted to home ownership (my house, for example), which means what's left
over may be relatively poorer. Inspections could have gotten tougher.

I don't want to paper over NRP's shortcomings. I do think there has been
less attention on the rental side, partly because of homeowner bias and
partly because of some landlords' cynicism about govt. I think too much
money was spent on middle-class stock and too much on wealthier
neighborhoods. But that was by design, and to get the program passed
politically. Now is a great time to re-evaluate, without demonizing.

I do think there was a lot of middle-class housing improved - see the
earlier NRP evaluation from Teamworks, which showed housing quality and
values went up faster in NRP neighborhoods than non-NRP neighborhoods. The
process does take awhile - too long - but it meant the neighborhoods by and
large were solving 1989's problems into the mid-'90s, and the depth of the
problem showed up after most of the plans had been made.

Of course, we now have a different problem (although some landlords say the
affordability crisis has also passed, right Craig Miller?) That's why it's
hard to argue that the city and the neighborhoods should be quicker about
how they get things done.
 
It's one reason I strongly support the McKinseyian idea that the city should
do a better job of setting citywide priorities - but that the neighborhoods
should be more integrated into implementing them. As a former neighborhood
board president, I would gladly trade a little freedom is establishing goals
for a more ongoing and integrated role in city decisions. I think a
combination of City Council goal-setting and neighborhood-level
implementation, the process can be faster and more representative.

One other thing: less than $200 million of NRP's Phase I money has been
spent: McKinsey identifies $960 million spent overall...so whatever the city
has done developmentally over the last decade, NRP is responsible for less
than 20 percent of it. And NRP had a much broader mandate than development -
unlike some agencies with Development in their name. Just remember the
overall context when assigning blame.

David Brauer
King Field

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