Title: history and the law of unanticipated consequences

More and more, I find myself wondering whether Minneapolis' urban planners have learned anything in the last half century. It was back in the 1950's that the city decided to rid itself of its bowery, which was located in the Gateway section of downtown and included more than 125 tenement buildings. World War Two had been won, the city was awash in postwar prosperity, and everyone who counted thought the bowery was an eyesore, an affront to municipal pride. So in a burst of urban "improvement", they had it torn down -- and in the process turned hundreds of derelict men, homeless, itinerant, and chemically dependent, out into the streets with nowhere to go.

But, of course, they had to go somewhere, and they did. Most migrated over the river to Franklin Avenue, which, for pre-existing social and economic reasons of long standing, was a natural "catchment" for them. From the 1960's until the late 1980's, one could drive along the avenue and see derelicts sleeping in Peavey Park, congregating around Snyder's Liquor Store, urinating into gutters, panhandling, fighting, and, in the winter, dying from the cold. It was a horrendous tableau of human suffering and degradation. No one had forseen or planned it, no one thought it was necessary or useful, no one wanted to perpetuate it. Yet, no one could generate the political will to eliminate it. In truth, a more elegant instantiation of the law of unintended consequences in social planning does not exist in the history of Minneapolis.

But there is more to the story. If the transplanted bowery on Franklin couldn't be gotten rid of, at least its worst manifestations could be ameliorated. Responsible and caring municipal leaders of the era, appalled by the spectacle of misery that they had had a hand in creating, tried to make sure that at least minimal housing for the homeless, chemical dependency treatment, and  social services were made available where they were most needed, on and off the Avenue. Slowly and surely, their efforts paid off, and conditions began to improve. But out of this very success, a new phenomenon materialized. A large and steadily growing number of people who required the kind of help available in Phillips now began to "follow the services". In time, a great, self-perpetuating complex of clients and service agencies --  governed by its own political, economic, and social imperatives -- emerged around the area's hospitals (Abbott Northwestern, Childrens', Mount Sinai, Swedish, and General). Once more, the law of unanticipated consequences had worked itself out upon and against the interests of the neighborhood.

Of course, this parable leaves out at least as much as it includes. Poverty in Phillips has its own long history, as do crime and violence, and I certainly do not wish to imply here that these problems have been visited upon us solely by  service agencies and their clients. Nothing could be further from the truth. So what's the point?

Well, I'd like to think that the political leadership of Minneapolis has not forgotten the risks inherent in social engineering, and that in their rush to build tens of thousands of affordable housing units, they manage to respect the vulnerabilities of the city's poorest neighborhoods. But I confess, I'm not reassured when I consider the extent to which the leadership has already contrived to obscure the distinction between affordable housing and "supportive" housing; to subvert the 1/4 mile exclusion rule by verbal fiat; to connive at  creating (by granting variances to developers) the very conditions that it overtly and explicitly condemns; to ignore the language and spirit of the Holman Consent Decree, and to perpetuate the concentration of poverty in poor neighborhoods and neighborhoods of color by catering to the NIMBY anxieties of the affluent. In my view, this does not represent responsible politics, and in effect it guarantees that consequences as yet unforseen, but most assuredly unfortunate, will ensue. Le plus ce change...

Paul Weir
Phillips









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