Dean Carlson says, of shopping downtown Tues night,
> By far the most disappointing
> experience downtown at Christmas ever.  Hope it was just a bad
> night, not a trend.

Light rain and cooler weather may have kept folks home Tues. night.  But, as
the STrib article mentions, suburban malls and superstores are mighty
competitors for our downtown retailers.

Likely as not, it's just a reflection of the overall economy.  With retail
prices slashed everywhere already, just imagine the deals to be found at the
'after the holiday' sales ahead.  Economy shoppers might consider handing
out personal rainchecks and IOU's to friends and loved ones when possible,
in hope of realizing significant savings at post holiday sales.

And of course there are all those folks like me, who haven't even started
holiday shopping yet.  The procrastinators.  Like the undecided, independent
voters in elections, we late shoppers cast added uncertainty on all the
projections of retail analysts everywhere!  Econometric forecasts, beige
books, consumer surveys, Ba Humbug!

Factors to consider:
Reduced public revenues, poor corporate earnings, budget cuts, layoffs,
higher taxes and stagnant markets don't contribute much to consumer
confidence nor add much momentum to consumer spending.  Low mortgage rates
continue to fuel home construction, even as price appreciation rates abate.
Retirees lucky enough to have savings fret over the record-low interest
rates and their greatly reduced returns-- which they count on to make ends
meet.

Uncertainty in the mid-east and Venezuela don't bode well for conventional
energy prices as we finally slide into the winter heating season here in MN,
and a larger chunk of our disposable income is shipped to
out-of-state/out-of-country fossil-fuel energy producers.  Nationally,
economists debate the merits/probabilities of lower inflation trends and
deflation in months ahead; and speak of a correction in the housing market
(a bubble?), lower rents to follow...?  all while local budgeteers continue
to debate local spending priorities and consider new programs/projects--
after the horse is out of the barn, so-to-speak.

My advice to local budgeteers; don't jeopardize the current workout plan.
If anything, take actions that will reduce the level of proposed local tax
increases.  External influences will wreak havoc and you can count on
unforeseen internal influences popping up.  Reduce overhead.  Liquidate real
assets competitively to reduce the local burden on Mpls. property tax
payers.

Happy Holidays!

Michael Hohmann
Linden Hills


> -----Original Message-----
> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of
> Dean Carlson
> Sent: Tuesday, December 17, 2002 9:31 PM
> To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Subject: [Mpls] Downtown Shopping
>
>
> Interesting article in the Star Tribune about shopping downtown:
>
> http://www.startribune.com/stories/1557/3537000.html
>
> We went to our annual christmas downtown excursion tonight.  It was pretty
> bleak.  Very few people, the Marshall Fields Christmas show was
> lame, prices
> slashed everywhere (great for the wallet).  By far the most disappointing
> experience downtown at Christmas ever.  Hope it was just a bad
> night, not a
> trend.
>
> Dean Carlson
> East Harriet, Ward 10
snip

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