I'm curious about people's explanations for the astoundingly poor showing by
Shane Price last night...the representative of Minneapolis's "second party"
(the Greens) received about half the vote of the endorsed Republican for an
open seat.

I am no expert on the 3rd ward, but a couple of guesses pop to mind:

1. Shane was a great repository for a protest vote in 2001, but when the
protest source (Biernat) was gone, so was the candidacy. Interestingly,
three DFLers finished ahead of Shane - proving that the DFL "brand" is not
poison in the city...as long as DFL alternatives emerge to
incumbents/endorsees (think Rybak over Sayles Belton).

Side note: I understand Don Samuels received a letter from the city party
telling him to desist in using the term "Democratic-Farmer-Labor candidate"
on his literature. Personally, I think the only thing that would have been
objectionable is if he'd called himself the DFL "endorsee" (which Olin Moore
won fair and square). Such pressure is short-sighted: if Samuels wins, the
party will need him more than the other way around. He becomes a strong
possibility as the party's standard-bearer in '05 against Natalie Johnson
Lee (since Samuels lives in the new 5th Ward).

Disclaimer: I'm not predicting a Samuels win, this year or in '05. But the
above is a scenario that sure could happen.

2.  Shane simply didn't have the campaign that Samuels (or Olin) did. The
Samuels campaign brain trust had several veterans of the Rybak campaign, or
Rybak's supporters. I think the inside story of the night was their use of
absentee ballots - heretofore a tactic perfected by state and national
Republicans. I heard that the Samuels campaign submitted 175 absentee
ballots out of 183 cast....and roughly half of his 363-vote primary total.
Nothing illegal about it, and smart as heck for a Dec. 30 race. Getting
residents to fill out absentee ballots DURING doorknocking may be the wave
of the future - it IS perfectly legal - and that was much more than Samuels'
margin over Margo and Valdis.

Disclaimer to wave of the future: it's probably easier to get residents to
fill out an absentee ballot at the door when there's only one race on the
ballot.

 Other explanations welcome and encouraged.

David Brauer
King Field
10th ward today, 8th ward down the road

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