Thanks, Jim Graham, for the first-hand report. I'd like to keep the thread
going with a few questions. (Disclaimer: long post)

> During the Mayor's presentation today Mayor Rybak stated that we would
have
> to begin the debate about the NRP cut.  I (Jim Graham) answered RT that
this
> debate had already been engaged in and was over.  The debate took place
> before the last election.  The politicians promising no cuts to NRP and to
> leave neighborhood control of NRP and empower those Neighborhoods won the
> debate.  The Mayor and several candidates for City Council won on the
basis
> of these commitments to keep NRP intact and promises to find the funding
for
> it.  We gave money, support, and votes on the basis of those commitments.
> It is NOT up for debate about funding NRP; it is up to those making the
> commitment to find the funds. That the taxpayers of Minneapolis should
have
> a referendum on where and what they would be willing to see tax increases
> for.  The Mayor said he would oppose such a referendum. (The Mayor and
City
> Council Members do not trust the people to spend the people's tax dollars
in
> the places the politicians think are important I guess.)

OK. But the current crop of electeds has locked in a pledge of RAISING the
city's property tax haul by 8 percent per year. If you want to preserve NRP,
it seems to me you have two basic choices: raise property taxes MORE (and
remember, that 8 percent overall translates into 13 percent per year for
residential, thanks to state tax reforms) or cut some other spending MORE.

Jim has a plan below. I think the rest of you need to ponder what you would
do/support. And discuss it here.

The police make up 32 percent of the 2003 property-tax-supported budget
alone; they are getting 23 percent of the cuts. The next two biggest
categories are fire and public works - which brings the budget slice to 59
percent.

According to the city's 5-year projections, they need to cut $55 million in
anticipated spending growth. The police come in for $12 million in cuts,
fire for $2 million and public works for $8.4 million. That's about half of
what you need.

Now you have to find $23 million in cuts from other departments: the next
biggest are Info Technology ($13 million budget this year), Inspections
(also $13 million, slated for no cuts under the projection), Licenses ($6
million), Finance ($5 million) and City Attorney ($4.6 million). No other
function - City attorney, human resources, health & family, clerk, assessor,
civil rights, mayor, council - costs more than $4 million.

Another big expense you could cut is paying off the Internal Services fund
deficit - amount city departments spent in the past that was put on a credit
card. The city proposes to spend $10 million this year on that. You could
postpone the payback, but you pay higher interest costs PLUS your bond
rating will go down, raising borrowing costs more.

There's also a $4 million community development fund that's slated to be
wiped out.

So...get me to $55 million in cuts, or raise taxes by more than the 8
percent overall, 13 percent overall residential. Think of it as Sim City for
list members.

At this point, I'm not advocating a plan because I'm still trying to assess.
I'd love help from list members - with numbers attached.

> RT Rybak and Paul Ostrow gave answers about things changing now, about
> unexpected debts, they had not anticipated 9-11, etc.  Can anyone tell me
> how 9-11 affected the City of Minneapolis' policy or debt?  

I don't think it was a major factor, but it did raise police and fire and
some public works costs. Jim is right to ask for specifics here. Good
question.

<snip> 
> What the Mayor and City Council should be doing is admitting they have a
> problem and asking how to solve it.  Not telling us that they learned from
> Brookfield's about defaulting on contracts so they are now defaulting on
> their contract and commitment about NRP.  Sorry folks, our leaders may be
> stupid enough to allow contracts to be unfulfilled, but the public is not.
> Remember that is why we got rid of the old leaders, they lied to us. So
ask
> for help and you will receive it, but please cut the crap, it is
insulting.

I think this is too easy. If any of you have read "The Power Broker" by
Robert Caro, about NYC strongman Robert Moses, you know a favorite strategy
is to lock in bond commitments - loans that must be repaid - which become
"non-discretionary" compared to other public spending. That's what the old
city crew did. Bad policy, and most paid at the polls.

But that doesn't change the reality for RT and crew. I don't think any of
the current fiscal hawks - Ostrow and Barret Lane, to name two - favored the
Cherryhomes stratagems. But they're stuck with them.

You can't save money at this point by blaming old bad loans. You can only
not do them going forward. I do think a ballpark is officially toast.

Add to that HUGE pension debt that HAS ballooned due to post-2000 market
drops, made worse by post-9/11 economic malaise. That's TENS OF MILLIONS of
borrowing that the current mayor had nothing to do with. Paying back this
debt really limits the amount of debt you can take on in tough times to
preserve spending - and also keeps you from deferring debt on things like
the Internal Services fund.

> Suggestions:
> 1. Do not even think of cutting the number of patrol officers unless you
> have figured out how to give us better policing. It is illegal and would
> trigger a lawsuit.

On what basis?

> 2. Cut City employee pay by 2% across the board except for senior staff
and
> City Council and Mayor, cut those salaries by 10%.  Cuts to be in affect
> until budget crises solved. Senior staff, the Council, and the Mayor got
us
> into this mess and they need incentive to get us out.

Good specific. Budget heads: how much would this add up to? The combined
budget of the Mayor's office and Council is about $2 million per year, with
$600,000 in spending growth between now and 2008. I'll assume you save the
entire spending growth, plus 3 percent on the $2 million (the salary cut,
between the 10 percent for a few and 2 percent for most). That gets you a
total cut of $660,000 from mayor and council - you only have $54.34 million
to go.

Obviously, cutting city salaries would produce much more. How much? Good
question. The city has 4,600 employees. Figure average salary at $60,000 (I
have no clue, just a guess, probably high), you save $5.52 million per year
with an immediate 2 percent cut - or $25 million through the life of the
budget. There are added savings from no increases in future years.

Jim may have solved the problem right here. But union agreements mean such
cuts can't happen right away. But would anyone (including good police
officers) work for the city, and what affect would the inevitable strikes
have?

Layoffs seem one obvious budget solution. They do mean less people doing
work, though. This is obviously where union influence will be deployed. It
will be interesting to see how strongly councilmembers resist layoffs, and
what the public has to say about it.

> 2. Sell City owned land in an open process to get maximum profit from it.
> Have Neighborhoods review bids and approve winner since the income will go
> into the NRP pot.

Intriguing...although we did elect the council to make such decisions.

> 3. Stop ALL MCDA community development grants except for Citizen
> Participation funding to Neighborhoods.  Freeze would take place
immediately
> and require re-approval of all such past grants not already disbursed in
> light of present budget shortfall.

Community participation grants are bedrock and should be preserved. Don't
think they should be the only thing, though.

> 4. Freeze all grants to large developers. No matter when made.

Don't think you can do that on past deals - see above.

> 5. Re-posses and sell all property not up to date on payments of City
Loans.

OK. Sometimes, though, workout plans really do make more financial sense.

> 6. Freeze all non-NRP TIF

Seems attractive...but again, may give too much power to the neighborhoods.

> 7. Fund portions of NRP from other City sources. (MCDA would be a good
> source, since NRP takes care of more community development than other City
> entities.

This is an option. Not sure NRP needs to be maintained as a separate
program, though, to accomplish this.
 
> Find new revenue streams:
> 1. Make all Real Estate property in Minneapolis taxable at City Level,
> including that held by non-profits, and other government entities where
> possible, even that which is exempt by other taxing entities.

A state law change needed?

> 2. Charge higher service charges for services provided to other government
> entities and non-residents.

That can come back to bite you, especially at the legislature.

> 3. Best new income stream - Start a City owned Casino at the old Sears
> building.  Use profits to fully fund NRP and set aside 10% of profits to
go
> to Native Community, including those not from reservations with casinos.
> State tax the profits from the casino.  Such a casino would use two floors
> of the building, but would make the remainder far more valuable retail and
> commercial space; - tax it.  This would also free Minneapolis from the
> vagaries of the Legislature. If enough is left over, put some into the
> general fund and buy a stadium for the "powers that be". (A little for
> everyone)

Note to neighbors: you want this? Do we want to fund neighborhood
improvement on the back of the poor and gambling addicts?

Also, you need the state to approve this - and I suspect they like having us
by the vagaries.

> As I said several months ago, there will be an attack on NRP by city
> officials.  It has already started.  Neighborhoods need to organize to
> address the problem NOW.  City officials say they want neighborhoods
working
> cooperatively to address mutual problems; Neighborhoods should give the
City
> such cooperative efforts in at least this one situation.  Neighborhoods
> should organize to cooperatively stop the destruction of NRP.

I think neighborhoods should work with the city to discuss comprehensive
solutions. I don't think the first step was a good approach. The meeting
yesterday was too soon and too poorly organized. Why does the council have
to have something voted on by Jan. 17th? More time, please.

That said, I'll repeat my wife's question over breakfast this morning: "If
the budget is being cut so much, why SHOULDN'T NRP take its share of the
cuts?"

> David Bower says, "City Officials will tell you neighborhood power will be
> changed, not undone."  David is correct, City Officials want all such
power
> changed back into Council control, but not undone.  They want
neighborhoods
> to continue to give input, but not about how to spend money and not if the
> input does not support what the Council wishes to do.

I think this is too harsh. Cynicism is justified, but Jim's conclusion is
far from foregone.

Sorry for the length, but I do think this is an important debate to have,
here and elsewhere.

David Brauer (the German spelling, with the "r")
King Field

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