Steve Nelson says,
> Subject: Re: [Mpls] vacancy does not mean affordable
>
> BUT it does mean the Bush economy is failing--probably because it is a
> corporate-centered economy instead of a people-centered economy.
> Corporations don't have to rent apartments.

[MH] Ah yes, as they say, talk is cheap, and sometimes cute.
Sorry Steve, but corporations (for-profit and non-profit) not only
facilitate the building of homes and apartments (financing/insurance, etc.),
they often own them, and they often make them available for lease or rent.
And yes, sometimes they even rent them-- all the while trying to stay within
a budget.  In addition, corporations manufacture and sell useful products
and services; they hire individuals, provide salary/wages and various other
benefits (hlth, dental, life/accident, pensions, 401 matches...) to skilled
workers, and they pay taxes at the local, state and national level.  Some
corporations even donate hard cash to support community services and local
events.  In short, corporations provide jobs.

It matters little if the Democrats or the Republicans are in control-- one
tends to rely on excessive taxes, the other excessive debt, and sometimes
government just uses too much of both-- both representing excessive
expenses.  Remember, the government doesn't produce the wealth, it just
taxes it, and uses said taxes to provide the necessary services not provided
by the private sector.  And, under either Democrats or Republicans,
sometimes we experience economic recessions-- businesses cut back, some
disappear, people lose jobs, and government revenues decline too.  During an
economic downturn, when housing rental vacancies are high, it makes a great
deal of sense to subsidize rents (people) in existing, vacant rental units
for a short period of time-- until the economy improves and more jobs are
available-- the Section 8 program for example, or local variations on the
theme.  The temporary subsidy makes such units affordable, reduces vacancies
and helps maintain the value of the housing stock.  Subsidize people and
fill the existing housing stock.  When the economy improves, most people
will no longer need the subsidy, and the public expense ends.

Contrast that scenario with one where the government builds a ton of new,
expensive rental units targeting the low-income niche of the market, which
end up forcing the rents of the vacant, privately owned units down, down,
down.  A scenario that results in a spiral of accelerated neighborhood
decline due to accumulating vacant properties-- caused by the reduced rents,
deferred maintenance and soon-to-follow declining property values...
residential and commercial, followed by reduced property tax receipts,
boarded properties, etc.  [The boarded properties eventually are bought and
the area rehabbed by the government-- after 10-20 years of decline.]  And,
when the next economic downturn comes along (five to ten years), we'll
likely find a greatly reduced supply of private rental units available, and
the shortage of housing will re-appear; the cycle repeats.  With each cycle,
the private investors (landlords) are driven from the local, low-income
niche market, and the government becomes the owner and provider of more and
more lower-income niche housing-- the supplier of last resort.  Private
landlords become unwilling to invest when markets are disrupted and
investment uncertainty is high; there is simply too much opportunity
elsewhere, where growing housing markets are more stable and there is more
certainty that a given investment will make money.  When private capital
flees a local market, that market becomes an endangered species... it could
die!  The City, and local taxpayers, want to avoid that death spiral at all
costs.

Granted, these two scenarios represent extremes on the lower-income niche
housing policy spectrum.  However, for a variety of reasons, the
high-visibility, new construction scenario is often the road taken by public
officials.  I think it often represents the road of least resistance, and,
when considered, the long-term impacts and consequences are overly
discounted by urban planners and economic development 'experts.'  I think
it's extremely important that private property owners be added to the
affordable housing, low-income niche housing equation-- via active
participation.  They represent an important variable and should not be
excluded.  While there may be a need for some new construction, the vast
supply of existing private housing stock must also be included in the
solution set.  I urge discretion by policy makers, as lower-income niche
housing policy evolves in Minneapolis and throughout the region.

Michael Hohmann
Linden Hills
www.mhohmannbizplans.com



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