We have a lot of empty classrooms because the district has increased class 
sizes and because of declining enrollment. 

Is the problem too many classrooms, or too few teachers and students?

Problem: Too many classrooms. 
Solution: Shut down some schools and shuffle around the students and 
teachers, and loose some of the students and teachers in the shuffle.
Problem created by the solution: Substantial net loss students and revenue 
that would primarily come out of the operating budget, leading to more cuts in 
services, etc.
You can't really fix the budgetary problem in this way unless the enrollment 
decline is very steep and sustained. And that is what the district is 
predicting will happen. The district loses money from the state and federal 
government, but total property tax revenues are not affected by the enrollment 
decline. 

The district's enrollment peaked in 1998. The decline in student enrollment 
since 1998 is due to residents opting out (or being pushed out) of the 
Minneapolis Public Schools, not because of a drop in the school age population. K-5 
enrollment fell by about 4,000 from the fall of 1998 to the fall of 2002, with a 
net K-12 lose of about 2,500 students. In the fall of 2002 the board decided 
to eliminate bus service for students living less than 3 miles from school, 
and enrollment began to take a nose-dive, creating a financial mess that 
required more service cuts, teacher layoffs, etc.

The data that I've looked at over the past several years and a little common 
sense tells me that the district has been holding on to students who are 
getting a "world class" education. On the other hand, the district is losing a 
large proportion of the students who are failing to thrive academically, or whose 
parents don't expect a great education for their children from the Minneapolis 
Public Schools. When bus service was drastically cut back in 2002, a lot of 
parents started looking for alternatives to the Minneapolis Public Schools 
rather than alternative transportation. 

Under Carol Johnson, the district changed the criteria for admitting students 
to gifted and talented programs. More "at-risk" students got into those 
programs, and many have been doing just fine. Other students, however, have been 
suffering the effects of watered-down curriculum, low teacher expectations, and 
low-self esteem (seeing oneself as a "low-ability learner"). When at-risk 
students do better in gifted in talented programs, and in private schools, and in 
suburban schools, maybe the reason for that is that the Minneapolis schools 
are structured to provide an inferior education to some students. If many do a 
lot better in a different setting, it logically follows that a part of the 
problem lies with the setup.
 
The district has spent hundreds of millions of dollars in the past 10 years 
on school improvement projects that did not "close the gap," the really high 
priced failures being the "community schools" plan and the conversion of 
elementary and middle schools into K-8 schools. The district might be able to do a 
decent job of education its students within current fiscal restraints if the 
board stops throwing money away on such projects.

-Doug Mann, King Field
Author of "Flight from Equality: School reform in the US since 1983" 
(published on and off the Internet). Http://educationright.tripod.com
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