Mr. Gaarder was quick to point out my lack of expertise in transit issues
but was not able to list a twelve mile stretch of track (or roadway) that
has greater potential than the Hiawatha Line - and please include all of the
costs and benefits, not just the initial construction financing.  Do a
twenty year cost projection comparison, and include the likely cost of
gasoline and it's related subsidies ten twenty years out.  I stand by my
opinion that The Hiawatha Line is a bargain.
Dan McGuire
Ericsson

----- Original Message -----
From: "Bruce Gaarder" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Sunday, April 04, 2004 10:46 AM
Subject: [Mpls] lrt costs, delays, potential


> Dyna tries to refute my statement that running or not running the train
for a
> few months doesn't have anything to do with the capital costs since that
> money has been spent and there will be no excess of income over expenses
> to go towards the capital costs, interest on same, or whatever.  She uses
an
> example of how stupid a person would be too buy something and not use it.
>
> But we aren't talking about a person using their own funds, it's the
government
> using our funds.  If Dyna wants to argue that it shouldn't have been
built,
> I'll agree with her.  But it's built and for every dollar taken in in
fares
> once it starts running, we will spend three dollars.  That's the goal for
lrt
> hereabouts.  The same goal is dreamed of in the University Avenue train.
> Replace one of the two or three highest fare recovery bus lines with a
train
> that at best recovers 1/3 of it's expenses.
>
> Dan McGuire thinks that hiawatha will be one of the most successful
transit
> projects in the country, if not the world.  It's good that he qualifies
that
> with the statement that he isn't a transit expert because it is way off
the
> mark.  It will be in the middle of the pack of wasteful U.S. lrt projects
> in farebox recovery.
>
> Los Angeles, the most densely populated urbanized areas, has been adding
> what they call Rapid Lines.  Along Wilshire Boulevard, the Rapid Line
> cut transit travel speed by about 25% and increased ridership by 29% in
> less than four months at a cost of $200,000 per mile plus the cost of
buses
> which are about $330,000 each.
>
> What are the measurements of success?  Burning a lot of tax dollars on a
> status symbol?  I don't have time today to give you a lot of examples, but
> you should look at the first San Diego trolley.  Speed?  Overall speed
will
> be no more than 22 mph, according to the schedules published in the effort
to
> railroad it through.  Downtown, you might be able to jog from the
metrodome
> to the warehouse district faster.
>
> Look also at what goes on in the rest of the world.  Visit
> http://www.demographia.com/rac-ix.htm for a sample.
>
>
> Visit www.EffectiveTransit.org
>
> The Independent Unsubsidized Voice of
> Citizens for Effective Transit in the Twin Cities  (no lrt)
>
> * lrt isn't a potato chip, you can stop at just one *
>
> Bruce Gaarder
> Highland Park  Saint Paul  MN
> [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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