> Jon writes:
>
> In my precinct, for example, we started Tuesday with 1980 registered
> voters.  During the day, 439 new people registered and voted, and the
> vote total was 1641.  So by the end of the day the registered voter
> total for the precinct was 1980 + 439, for a total of 2419.  This gives
> us a percentage turnout of 68%, which, for a precinct that has a lot of
> folks move in and out of it, is pretty darned good.
>
> So, make sure you include the same day registrant numbers when you do
> your voting percentages.  You can't do that right now from the Secretary
> of State's website, to the best of my knowledge, because it doesn't yet
> have figures for those same day registrants.  According to the website,
> those numbers will be added by the counties by the end of next week.
> We'll have to wait until the end of next week to know the real numbers
> there.
>

Randall writes:

However, the 7 AM (pre-registered) numbers likely includes people who have
moved out of the precinct or are otherwise not available for voting
(deceased, felony conviction, under guardinship of the person).  Many of
these people likely registered in another state on election day somewhere
else in Minnesota.  Also many election day registrations are people who
have moved to another residence within the precinct so they are counted in
both the 7AM registration and the election day registration.

The problem with considering election day registrations in turnout is
evident in precincts around the university of minnesota.  If you consider
election day registrations you get low turnout, however, a huge number of
pre-registered voters no longer live in those precincts or they moved to
another dorm room so they are required to re-register - so those
registration shouldn't be considered when determining turnout.

So while you may wish to consider election day registrations to understand
turnout, if you do you need to wait several months until all voter records
are updated to reflect election day registrations for precinct or
residence changes, you will need to wait until any recently deceased
voters are removed from the rosters, you will need to wait until records
are removed because a voter moved to another state and registered there,
and you will need to wait up to four years for a registration to be
removed from the roster for a voter who has moved and never registered
anywhere else.  After all these things are completed you will be able to
determine what the correct pre-registration number is for tuesday's
election.  Of course by that time everything has changed.

I'm not going to even bring up UOCAVA (oversees presidential and federal
offices only) voters, because they have entirely different elegibility
requirements and are not accounted for in the pre-registration numbers.

Randall Cutting
Seward




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