This stadium thing bite me royally.
Why do we need a new stadium commission for this stadium?  What about our 
current sport facility commission?  Why can't the county own and operate it 
themselves instead of this new commission?  Seems like were just adding one 
more layer of bureaucracy bleeding the system dry.

Good idea to collect a bit more than required and pay off early, but will the 
tax truly go away after this thing is paid for?  I ask this because it seems 
like many on this list were not aware that the previous stadium tax did go away.
Ron Leurquin
Nokomis East


David wrote:
The tax raises $28 million a year - but the amount needed to pay bondholders
is $21.5 million. The county would net $6.5 million more annually than it
needs to pay out.

Why collect more than you need? To guard against events that cut your sales
tax proceeds - say, a recession. The county is collecting 25 percent more
than it needs, a very healthy cushion, especially since the sales tax is a
very stable revenue source. 

The county will likely receive MORE than $28 million annually - because
inflation and real economic growth also inflate sales tax collections.

Collecting more than you need cuts your borrowing costs. You're more likely
to pay back the bonds, which makes them less risky to buy, which lowers the
interest rate investors need, which cuts your financing costs.

The money you collect over $21.5 million doesn't go to the bondholders. It's
yours to pay off the principal - and more quickly pay off the bonds.

Here's a scenario to illustrate:

* The county needs $353 million for its share of the ballpark, area
improvements and bond insurance, etc.
* It must also fund $1.4 million per year for a capital improvements account
and $600,000 a year for a new Ballpark Commission. Those expenses rise with
inflation, which we'll estimate at 3.5 percent per year. (David didn't
include these expenses, but they're there.)
* It sells 30-year bonds with a 4.75 percent interest rate (the county's
current projection)
* Sales tax proceeds rise 3 percent annually (less than our inflation
assumption, so conservative)

If these happen, you pay off the stadium in 15.5 years, not 30. You'd pay
$170 million in interest, not $490 million as David calculated.

I also plugged in some more pessimistic numbers: sales tax proceeds don't
grow at all, 5 percent interest rate, 5 percent annual inflation in ballpark
and commission expenses.

Stadium payoff: 24 years. Interest expense: $257 million. 


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