Jane Strauss wrote:
I keep wonderign  how long it will take for politicos and others to figure 
out that you can't build your way out of congestion.  The more traffic lanes

there are, and the less conveneint, reasonably priced, transit, the more 
folks will drive.

Mark Anderson:
I have three responses to this:

1) The fact that mass transit advocates have repeated ad nauseum that you
can't build your way out of congestion doesn't make it so.  I have seen no
evidence that this is true.  Everyone always brings up Houston and Atlanta
as proof.  But the fact that those fast-growing cities still have congestion
proves nothing -- where would they be if they hadn't built the highways?
Much slower-growing I imagine, since traffic would no doubt be in permanent
grid-lock.  Like where the Twin Cities would be now if it had grown as fast
as Atlanta, with the miniscule amount it's put into new roads.

2) What makes you think that the politicos believe that we can build our way
out of congestion?  If only it were so.  How many highway miles have been
built in the last 20 years, as the Metro population increased by over 50%?
If we had kept up with our infrastructure for those 20 years, rush hour
might not have expanded to most of the day in Minneapolis.

3) I'd love to hear a real plan for mass transit, so we can truly see how
much it really costs.  The real question is, "can we build our way out of
congestion with mass transit?"  I doubt it.

On the MNDOT web site, it says that we drive about 39.7 million miles each
day in the Metro.  On the Metro Transit web site, is says that there are
19,300 LRT riders each day, and the line is 12 miles long.  I'll give the
LRT the benefit of the doubt, and assume the average ride is 5/6 of the
line, or 10 miles.  That means they have 193,000 people miles each day.  The
Hiawatha line cost $715 million.  To seriously dent the car traffic in a
growing region like the Twin Cities, they better plan on replacing 1/2 the
current car miles, which would be 19.85 million miles.  At the same rate as
we paid for the Hiawatha line, we'd need to spend 19.85 million/193,000 *
$715 million = $73.5 billion.  Anybody have that kind of money hiding in
their couch cushions?

Now I would agree that Hiawatha was a stupid over-priced place to put our
first train, so there would be a lot of places with better value to have
LRT.  But to replace so much auto traffic, we'll need to put the trains in a
lot less efficient places than even Hiawatha.  Plus of course we'd need to
knock down a lot of houses, which is verboten to a lot of mass transit
advocates.  And usually one needs at least 50% more train miles to replace x
miles of auto miles, since the train rarely goes exactly where its customers
want to go.

For those of you who think that it's the bus routes that must be
dramatically expanded to replace all the cars, congratulations!  That at
least makes more sense than putting tracks all over the place.  But I'd sure
like to see a plan for that too.  I suspect you'd have to spend $billions
per year improving service just to entice 1/4 of the folks out of their
cars.

So does anyone have a plan for reducing congestion?  All I know is that
traffic has worsened dramatically in the Southwest Metro for the last twenty
years, which is where I mostly drive.  The population has boomed, but there
have been zero new highways added in that area during that time.  I think
it's logical to see a connection there.  I believe new roads would help a
lot.  But then I don't buy into the dogma of the mass transit people.

Mark V Anderson
Bancroft


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