While I don't doubt the accuracy of Lee's presentation at the time, at least 
two base factors have changed since then:

- Greater deployment of IPv6 content (necessitating less CGN capacity per user)
- Increased price of Legacy IP space on the secondary market (changing the 
formula) -- strictly speaking, this presentation was still in "primary market" 
era for LACNIC/ARIN/AFRINIC

IPv6 migration is not generally aided by CGNAT, but CGNAT deployment is 
generally aided by IPv6 deployment; to reiterate the earlier point, any ISPs 
deploying CGNAT without first deploying IPv6 are burning cash.

- Jima

From: NANOG On Behalf Of Owen DeLong
Sent: Sunday, February 21, 2021 16:59
To: Steve Saner
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: CGNAT


On Feb 18, 2021, at 8:38 AM, Steve Saner wrote:

> We are starting to look at CGNAT solutions. The primary motivation at the 
> moment is to extend current IPv4 resources, but IPv6 migration is also a 
> factor.

IPv6 Migration is generally not aided by CGNAT.

In general, the economics today still work out to make purchasing or leasing 
addresses more favorable than CGNAT.

It’s a bit dated by now, but still very relevant, see Lee Howard’s excellent 
research presented at the 2012 Rocky
mountain v6 task force meeting:

https://www.rmv6tf.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/11/TCO-of-CGN1.pdf

Owen


We've been in touch with A10. Just wondering if there are some alternative 
vendors that anyone would recommend. We'd probably be looking at a solution to 
support 5k to 15k customers and bandwidth up to around 30-40 gig as a starting 
point. A solution that is as transparent to user experience as possible is a 
priority.

Thanks

-- 
Steve Saner
ideatek HUMAN AT OUR VERY FIBER
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