Mixed residential (ages 25 - 75, 1 - 6 people per unit), group who worked
together to keep costs down. Works well for them. Friday nights we get to
about 85% utilization (Netflix), other than that, usually sits between 25 - 45%
paul
> On Apr 2, 2019, at 5:44 PM, Jared Mauch <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> I would say this is perhaps atypical but may depend on the customer type(s).
>
> If they’re residential and use OTT data then sure. If it’s SMB you’re likely
> in better shape.
>
> - Jared
>
>
>> On Apr 2, 2019, at 5:21 PM, Paul Nash <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> FWIW, I have a 250 subscribers sitting on a 100M fiber into Torix. I have
>> had no complains about speed in 4 1/2 years. I have been planning to bump
>> them to 1G for the last 4 years, but there is currently no economic
>> justification.
>>
>> paul
>>
>>
>>> On Apr 2, 2019, at 3:21 PM, Louie Lee via NANOG <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>> Certainly.
>>>
>>> Projecting demand is one thing. Figuring out what to buy for your backbone,
>>> edge (uplink & peer), and colo (for CDN caches too!), for which
>>> scale+growth is quite another.
>>>
>>> And yeah, Jim, overall, things have stayed the same. There are just the
>>> nuances added with caches, gaming, OTT streaming, some IoT (like always-on
>>> home security cams) plus better tools now for network management and
>>> network analysis.
>>>
>>> Louie
>>> Google Fiber.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Tue, Apr 2, 2019 at 12:00 PM Jared Mauch <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>> On Apr 2, 2019, at 2:35 PM, jim deleskie <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>>
>>>> +1 on this. its been more than 10 years since I've been responsible for a
>>>> broadband network but have friends that still play in that world and do
>>>> some very good work on making sure their models are very well managed,
>>>> with more math than I ever bothered with, That being said, If had used the
>>>> methods I'd had used back in the 90's they would have fully predicted per
>>>> sub growth including all the FB/YoutubeNetflix traffic we have today. The
>>>> "rapid" growth we say in the 90's and the 2000' and even this decade are
>>>> all magically the same curve, we'd just further up the incline, the
>>>> question is will it continue another 10+ years, where the growth rate is
>>>> nearing straight up :)
>>>
>>>
>>> I think sometimes folks have the challenge with how to deal with aggregate
>>> scale and growth vs what happens in a pure linear model with subscribers.
>>>
>>> The first 75 users look a lot different than the next 900. You get
>>> different population scale and average usage.
>>>
>>> I could roughly estimate some high numbers for population of earth internet
>>> usage at peak for maximum, but in most cases if you have a 1G connection
>>> you can support 500-800 subscribers these days. Ideally you can get a 10G
>>> link for a reasonable price. Your scale looks different as well as you can
>>> work with “the content guys” once you get far enough.
>>>
>>> Thursdays are still the peak because date night is still generally Friday.
>>>
>>> - Jared
>
