Perhaps there is a thermal component hiding in the underlying physics of 
tube wearout, such as exp(aKT), where K is Boltzmann's constant, and T is 
absolute temperature. Tubes will run hotter at higher current. Until now it 
never even occurred to me the cathode surface temperature of a nixie could 
be significantly higher than the glass envelope.

I'm not sure how the heat generated by a nixie tube is produced, and more 
importantly, *where* it's produced. The cathode itself isn't actually 
glowing; it's the ionized gas surrounding the cathode that produces the 
glow. Most likely the ionized gas is the hottest part of the tube, but it's 
close proximity to the cathode will cause it to heat.

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