"Andreas Broeckmann" wrote:
Russia's war against Ukraine was lost from day one. The people in Russia
must now decide how they want to get out of the mess their leadership
created.
Russia can never win this war. It will not be able to suppress the
resistance of the Ukrainian people who, even if Russian troops were to
occupy major parts of the territory, would continue to offer both
civilian and armed resistance to this occupation. This resistance would
not end.
Much as I would like to believe this narrative, I fear it is wishful thinking.
As Fiona Hill
said in a MUST-READ interview in Politico. Putin may have a different vision of
success
other than mere occupation.
"....he (Putin) may not have sufficient force to take the country for a
protracted period. It also may be that he doesn’t want to occupy the whole
country, that
he wants to break it up, maybe annex some parts of it, maybe leave some of it
as rump statelets
or a larger rump Ukraine somewhere, maybe around Lviv. I’m not saying that I
know exactly
So what Putin wants isn’t necessarily to occupy the whole country, but really
to divide it up.
He’s looked at Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and other places where there’s a
division of the country
between the officially sanctioned forces on the one hand, and the rebel forces
on the other.
That’s something that Putin could definitely live with — a fractured, shattered
Ukraine with
different bits being in different statuses.
Reynolds: So step by step, in ways that we haven’t always appreciated in the
West, Putin has
brought back a lot of these countries that were independent after the Soviet
collapse back under his
umbrella. The only country that has so far evaded Putin’s grip has been Ukraine.
Hill: Ukraine, correct. Because it’s bigger and because of its strategic
location. That’s what Russia wants
to ensure, or Putin wants to ensure, that Ukraine like the other countries, has
no other option than
subjugation to Russia."
Please read the full text.. It gives some idea of the extreme danger we are
facing and how best to resist
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2022/02/28/world-war-iii-already-there-00012340
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