Enter the Veto

Russia's Opposition on Kosovo Firm

by Nebojsa Malic

*A*s the fact-finding mission of the UN Security Council arrives in Belgrade
this morning, the war of words over the occupied Serbian province of Kosovo
continues. Last week, U.S. Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns
warned<http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/04/17/america/NA-GEN-US-Kosovo-1st-Ld-Writethru.php>of
a "new conflict" if the province – dominated by ethnic Albanians – is
not
granted independence under the Ahtisaari
plan<http://www.antiwar.com/malic/?articleid=10486>
.

Quite possibly, Burns meant an Albanian campaign of violence against Serbs,
NATO troops and UN staff, much like the pogrom of
2004<http://www.kosovo.net/news/archive/2004/March_29/1.html>.
But it is becoming clear that Washington's insistence on independent Kosovo
is creating a much more serious conflict – with Russia.

This Tuesday, Burns's counterpart in Moscow, Vladimir Titov, said Russia
would 
veto<http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070424/wl_afp/russiakosovoserbiaun_070424180204>the
Ahtisaari plan as unacceptable. Washington has
downplayed<http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070424/pl_afp/russiakosovoserbiaun_070424191620>Titov's
threat; State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said that the
U.S. was "working to try and accommodate the concerns" of Moscow and
Belgrade, but repeated that "it's time to try to craft a solution that will
over time be durable."

Even now, the Empire persists in belief that Russia's opposition to the
partition of Serbia is a tactical ploy, a bluff by a weak country that
cannot influence the march of "democracy" in the Balkans. This belief will
be sorely tested in the coming days.

*Not the Same Russia*

*M*onday's death of Boris Yeltsin<http://antiwar.com/justin?articleid=10867>,
who ruled Russia for half of its post-Soviet history, occasioned an outpour
of nostalgia in the West but a much more sober
reaction<http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0425/p06s02-woeu.html?page=1>in
Russia itself. But while Yeltsin was a "destroyer," whose policies
left
Russia in ruins, his successor Vladimir Putin has been a "creator" (*Christian
Science Monitor*<http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0425/p06s02-woeu.html?page=1>).
That Yeltsin is celebrated in the West, while Putin is
reviled<http://www.antiwar.com/justin/?articleid=3598>,
sends a pretty clear message to the Russians.

Even Yeltsin opposed the 1999 NATO attack on Yugoslavia, as illegal and
illegitimate. His personal envoy, Viktor Chernomyrdin, took part in talks
that eventually resulted in an armistice. Chernomyrdin's partner,
representing Imperial interests, was none other than Martti Ahtisaari. Many
believe that Slobodan Milosevic accepted Ahtisaari's proposal in 1999
because Chernomyrdin supposedly assured him Russian troops would be present
in Kosovo to keep NATO in check. Despite the surprise Russian deployment to
Pristina ahead of the advancing NATO troops (and their KLA allies), Moscow's
plan fizzled when new NATO clients, Romania and Bulgaria, refused to allow
Russian reinforcements to fly over their territory. The Alliance then
occupied Kosovo on its own
terms<http://www.zmag.org/CrisesCurEvts/berlin_scenario.htm>,
*de facto *making Chernomyrdin and Yeltsin enablers of its illegal conquest.

Those in Washington, London and Brussels who now press for Kosovo
independence are by and large the same people who played a major role in the
1999 NATO invasion. They may not realize it, but their opposition in Moscow
is no longer the drunken, indecisive, old Yeltsin, but a government
that refuses
to be bullied <http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6350847.stm> by the West
any more, and is looking for payback.

*Commitment to What?!*

*L*ast week, Undersecretary Burns told the House Committee on Foreign
Affairs <http://www.state.gov/p/us/rm/2007/83120.htm> that the U.S. was
"absolutely committed to bringing about Kosovo's independence. With your
support, I believe we are capable of achieving a historic, bipartisan
success for U.S. foreign policy."

To illustrate precisely what the U.S. was committed to, consider these
words<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/julia-gorin/usa-proud-supporter-of-t_b_46424.html>by
the committee's chairman, Congressman Tom Lantos (D-CA):

*"Just a reminder to the predominantly Muslim-led government[s] in this
world that here is yet another example that the United States leads the way
for the creation of a predominantly Muslim country in the very heart of
Europe. This should be noted by both responsible leaders of Islamic
governments, such as Indonesia, and also for jihadists of all color and hue.
The United States' principles are universal, and in this instance, the
United States stands foursquare for the creation of an overwhelmingly Muslim
country in the very heart of Europe." (emphasis added)*

Yes, that is correct. A senior U.S. lawmaker actually used Kosovo as an
example of U.S. commitment to advancing a jihadist cause!

Now, one could argue back and forth the connection between Kosovo Albanians
and international Islamic terrorists. Although the Albanians officially deny
it and claim their struggle is nationalist in nature, the KLA has engaged in
ritual beheadings <http://www.ex-yupress.com/evnovosti/evnovosti13.html>,
for example, and there are plenty of threads
connecting<http://www.antiwar.com/orig/deliso5.html>Osama bin Laden,
Albania and the KLA. Albanians themselves are seen as
Muslims one minute, secular the next, depending on what fits the
agenda<http://www.antiwar.com/malic/?articleid=9918>of their sponsors
in the West.

Just this past week, a leader of a Wahhabi terrorist group was killed in a
firefight<http://www.adnki.com/index_2Level_English.php?cat=Security&loid=8.0.406915662&par=>with
Serbian police in a region of Raska (Sanjak), northwest of Kosovo.
Media in Belgrade have speculated
<http://news.serbianunity.net/?p=1787>since early March that an
upsurge in Wahhabi violence was coming as part of
the strategy to pressure Serbia on Kosovo. Germany's ambassador to Belgrade,
the unfortunate Andreas Zobel<http://www.serbianna.com/news/2007/01508.shtml>,
had also brought up the possibility of unrest in Raska, which has a
significant Muslim minority. Now that the Serbian police have found a
terrorist training
camp<http://www.adnki.com/index_2Level_English.php?cat=Terrorism&loid=8.0396486140&par=0>and
arrested armed Wahhabis, what was in the realm of conspiracy theories
appears to have become quite real. One might recall that the KLA itself
started out as a rumor.

*Against the Odds*

*W*ashington, Brussels and London are doing everything in their power to
bully Belgrade and Moscow into accepting an independent, Albanian-dominated
Kosovo under EU and NATO protection, presenting that outcome as inevitable
and any opposition to it as "defying reality."

Is it?

One of the oft-repeated warnings is that the Albanians would respond with
violence if their desires are not fulfilled. To this, Russia's Titov
responds <http://byzantinesacredart.com/blog/2007/04/ending-lunacy.html>:
"We find it surprising that the Kosovo Albanians are blackmailing the
international community with a bloodbath in the province if they are denied
independence. This is utterly unacceptable."

Not to the U.S., NATO and the EU, apparently. Remember, they want to send a
message to the jihadists about how "principled" they are. Too bad their
"principles" violate <http://www.antiwar.com/malic/?articleid=5312> the
established norms of international law, and rely instead on propaganda and
brute force.

Bullying doesn't appear to be working, though, and attempts to weaken
Belgrade's resolve through secret
talks<http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L13320702.htm>and
rumors
of 
partition<http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/library/news/2007/04/mil-070424-rferl01.htm>have
failed as well. Neither Serbia nor Russia are showing any signs that
their commitment is wavering. Empire's conviction that they are bluffing is
a classical example of wishful thinking. Russia is definitely not the same
country that got double-crossed in 1999. For that matter, neither is Serbia.
Empire's might looks far less impressive today than it did back then, too.

When all of this is added up, it is hard to escape the impression that it's
the Empire, rather than Serbia or Russia, that is facing long odds in its
"absolute commitment" to the Kosovo Albanian cause.
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