Enter the Veto 

Russia's Opposition on Kosovo Firm by Nebojsa Malic 

As the fact-finding mission of the UN Security Council arrives in Belgrade
this morning, the war of words over the occupied Serbian province of Kosovo
continues. Last week, U.S. Undersecretary of State Nicholas Burns warned
<http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/04/17/america/NA-GEN-US-Kosovo-1st-Ld-W
ritethru.php>  of a "new conflict" if the province - dominated by ethnic
Albanians - is not granted independence under the Ahtisaari plan
<http://www.antiwar.com/malic/?articleid=10486> .

Quite possibly, Burns meant an Albanian campaign of violence against Serbs,
NATO troops and UN staff, much like the pogrom of 2004
<http://www.kosovo.net/news/archive/2004/March_29/1.html> . But it is
becoming clear that Washington's insistence on independent Kosovo is
creating a much more serious conflict - with Russia. 

This Tuesday, Burns's counterpart in Moscow, Vladimir Titov, said Russia
<http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070424/wl_afp/russiakosovoserbiaun_0704241802
04>  would veto the Ahtisaari plan as unacceptable. Washington has
downplayed
<http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070424/pl_afp/russiakosovoserbiaun_0704241916
20>  Titov's threat; State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said that the
U.S. was "working to try and accommodate the concerns" of Moscow and
Belgrade, but repeated that "it's time to try to craft a solution that will
over time be durable."

Even now, the Empire persists in belief that Russia's opposition to the
partition of Serbia is a tactical ploy, a bluff by a weak country that
cannot influence the march of "democracy" in the Balkans. This belief will
be sorely tested in the coming days.

Not the Same Russia

Monday's death of Boris Yeltsin <http://antiwar.com/justin?articleid=10867>
, who ruled Russia for half of its post-Soviet history, occasioned an
outpour of nostalgia in the West but a much more sober
<http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0425/p06s02-woeu.html?page=1>  reaction in
Russia itself. But while Yeltsin was a "destroyer," whose policies left
Russia in ruins, his successor Vladimir Putin has been a "creator" (
<http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0425/p06s02-woeu.html?page=1> Christian
Science Monitor). That Yeltsin is celebrated in the West, while Putin is
reviled <http://www.antiwar.com/justin/?articleid=3598> , sends a pretty
clear message to the Russians. 

Even Yeltsin opposed the 1999 NATO attack on Yugoslavia, as illegal and
illegitimate. His personal envoy, Viktor Chernomyrdin, took part in talks
that eventually resulted in an armistice. Chernomyrdin's partner,
representing Imperial interests, was none other than Martti Ahtisaari. Many
believe that Slobodan Milosevic accepted Ahtisaari's proposal in 1999
because Chernomyrdin supposedly assured him Russian troops would be present
in Kosovo to keep NATO in check. Despite the surprise Russian deployment to
Pristina ahead of the advancing NATO troops (and their KLA allies), Moscow's
plan fizzled when new NATO clients, Romania and Bulgaria, refused to allow
Russian reinforcements to fly over their territory. The Alliance then
occupied Kosovo on its own terms
<http://www.zmag.org/CrisesCurEvts/berlin_scenario.htm> , de facto making
Chernomyrdin and Yeltsin enablers of its illegal conquest.

Those in Washington, London and Brussels who now press for Kosovo
independence are by and large the same people who played a major role in the
1999 NATO invasion. They may not realize it, but their opposition in Moscow
is no longer the drunken, indecisive, old Yeltsin, but a government that
refuses to be bullied <http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/6350847.stm>  by
the West any more, and is looking for payback.

Commitment to What?!

Last week, Undersecretary Burns told the House Committee
<http://www.state.gov/p/us/rm/2007/83120.htm>  on Foreign Affairs that the
U.S. was "absolutely committed to bringing about Kosovo's independence. With
your support, I believe we are capable of achieving a historic, bipartisan
success for U.S. foreign policy."

To illustrate precisely what the U.S. was committed to, consider these
<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/julia-gorin/usa-proud-supporter-of-t_b_46424.
html>  words by the committee's chairman, Congressman Tom Lantos (D-CA):

"Just a reminder to the predominantly Muslim-led government[s] in this world
that here is yet another example that the United States leads the way for
the creation of a predominantly Muslim country in the very heart of Europe.
This should be noted by both responsible leaders of Islamic governments,
such as Indonesia, and also for jihadists of all color and hue. The United
States' principles are universal, and in this instance, the United States
stands foursquare for the creation of an overwhelmingly Muslim country in
the very heart of Europe." (emphasis added)

Yes, that is correct. A senior U.S. lawmaker actually used Kosovo as an
example of U.S. commitment to advancing a jihadist cause!

Now, one could argue back and forth the connection between Kosovo Albanians
and international Islamic terrorists. Although the Albanians officially deny
it and claim their struggle is nationalist in nature, the KLA has engaged in
ritual beheadings <http://www.ex-yupress.com/evnovosti/evnovosti13.html> ,
for example, and there are plenty of threads connecting
<http://www.antiwar.com/orig/deliso5.html>  Osama bin Laden, Albania and the
KLA. Albanians themselves are seen as Muslims one minute, secular the next,
depending on what fits the agenda
<http://www.antiwar.com/malic/?articleid=9918>  of their sponsors in the
West.

Just this past week, a leader of a Wahhabi terrorist group was killed
<http://www.adnki.com/index_2Level_English.php?cat=Security&loid=8.0.4069156
62&par=>  in a firefight with Serbian police in a region of Raska (Sanjak),
northwest of Kosovo. Media in Belgrade have speculated
<http://news.serbianunity.net/?p=1787>  since early March that an upsurge in
Wahhabi violence was coming as part of the strategy to pressure Serbia on
Kosovo. Germany's ambassador to Belgrade, the unfortunate Andreas Zobel
<http://www.serbianna.com/news/2007/01508.shtml> , had also brought up the
possibility of unrest in Raska, which has a significant Muslim minority. Now
that the Serbian police have found a terrorist training
<http://www.adnki.com/index_2Level_English.php?cat=Terrorism&loid=8.03964861
40&par=0>  camp and arrested armed Wahhabis, what was in the realm of
conspiracy theories appears to have become quite real. One might recall that
the KLA itself started out as a rumor. 

Against the Odds

Washington, Brussels and London are doing everything in their power to bully
Belgrade and Moscow into accepting an independent, Albanian-dominated Kosovo
under EU and NATO protection, presenting that outcome as inevitable and any
opposition to it as "defying reality." 

Is it?

One of the oft-repeated warnings is that the Albanians would respond with
violence if their desires are not fulfilled. To this, Russia's Titov
<http://byzantinesacredart.com/blog/2007/04/ending-lunacy.html>  responds:
"We find it surprising that the Kosovo Albanians are blackmailing the
international community with a bloodbath in the province if they are denied
independence. This is utterly unacceptable." 

Not to the U.S., NATO and the EU, apparently. Remember, they want to send a
message to the jihadists about how "principled" they are. Too bad their
"principles" violate <http://www.antiwar.com/malic/?articleid=5312>  the
established norms of international law, and rely instead on propaganda and
brute force. 

Bullying doesn't appear to be working, though, and attempts to weaken
Belgrade's resolve through secret talks
<http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L13320702.htm>  and rumors
<http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/library/news/2007/04/mil-070424-rfer
l01.htm>  of partition have failed as well. Neither Serbia nor Russia are
showing any signs that their commitment is wavering. Empire's conviction
that they are bluffing is a classical example of wishful thinking. Russia is
definitely not the same country that got double-crossed in 1999. For that
matter, neither is Serbia. Empire's might looks far less impressive today
than it did back then, too.

When all of this is added up, it is hard to escape the impression that it's
the Empire, rather than Serbia or Russia, that is facing long odds in its
"absolute commitment" to the Kosovo Albanian cause. 

http://www.antiwar.com/malic/?articleid=10873

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