Moscow issues warning over Kosovo

By Stefan Wagstyl

Published: April 26 2007 19:32 | Last updated: April 26 2007 19:32

After weeks of shadow-boxing, Moscow could be preparing for a fight with 
Washington over the disputed Balkan territory of Kosovo.

Vladimir Titov, a Russian deputy foreign minister, said this week that the plan 
prepared by Martti Ahtisaari, the United Nations envoy, for supervised 
independence for Kosovo would “not get through the UN Security Council”.

It was the strongest signal yet that Russia might veto the proposals, which 
have been endorsed by the US, Britain and other leading European Union members. 
So far, Sergei Lavrov, the foreign minister, has avoided the veto question, 
saying that until a resolution is put to the Security Council there is “nothing 
to veto”.

At Russia’s instigation, the Security Council is on a mission to Europe, 
including the Balkans, this week. The 15 ambassadors are visiting Kosovo, the 
disputed and UN-administered southern province of Serbia, where the ethnic 
Albanian majority demands independence. The team is also visiting Serbia, which 
insists that Kosovo must remain part of its territory.

One western observer said he feared the possibilities for Russia ranged from a 
veto to grudging support for a weak resolution – far removed from the Ahtisaari 
plan.

While Russian officials deny they are deliberately delaying a settlement, they 
argue there should be no rush to judgment. Yuri Fedotov, the Russian ambassador 
to London, told journalists this month: “If we have been waiting a few years, 
why should we take a decision in a few weeks?”

Russian officials say they would support any settlement negotiated between 
Serbia and Kosovo. But Mr Ahtisaari says negotiations cannot bridge an 
unbridgeable gap.

The US and other western powers agree. They fear that the ethnic Albanians 
might take matters into their own hands and declare independence unilaterally 
if they are forced to wait much longer. 

Russia’s position seems rooted in four considerations. First, Serbia is a 
traditional ally and a Balkan base for Russian companies. Next, with Moscow 
keen to demonstrate its political resurgence, Kosovo is an opportunity to 
assert Russia’s influence deep in Europe. The Kremlin still resents the 1999 
Nato assault which forced Serbia from Kosovo.

Third, Russia might still hope to exploit differences over the Ahtisaari plan 
within the EU, with Spain, for example, having reservations. Finally, Russia 
has given warning that if the ethnic Albanians win independence without UN 
agreement, a precedent will be set for other separatists – not least in the 
former Soviet Union.

President Vladimir Putin has explicitly linked Kosovo with the troubled 
Caucasus saying “commonly recognised universal principles” were needed.

In Georgia, for instance, Russian-backed separatists in Abkhazia and South 
Ossetia have sought independence. Moscow publicly endorses Georgia’s 
territorial integrity, but has also given the separatist authorities political 
and financial support. Georgia says Russia has gone further and tried to 
exacerbate the conflicts. 

In Moldova, meanwhile, Russia has backed the breakaway region of 
Transdniestria. In the past month, it has unilaterally proposed plans for 
ending the conflict between Transdniestrian and Moldovan authorities – ignoring 
mechanisms for consulting the EU.

While there are no direct links between the Moldova and Kosovo disputes, 
Russia’s unilateral approach could be seen as a response to what it views as 
the west’s effort to impose a one-sided settlement in Kosovo.

Copyright <http://www.ft.com/servicestools/help/copyright>  The Financial Times 
Limited 2007


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